Football · Sweden Superettan · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping

Team pages: Osters IF · IFK Norrkoping

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Osters IF1.05

IFK Norrkoping1.66

1X2

24% 25% 51%

Osters IF Draw IFK Norrkoping

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Osters IF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWDLL

IFK Norrkoping 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDWD

Head-to-head

Osters IF 0–1–3 IFK Norrkoping (4 last)

IFK Norrkoping2-0Osters IF
Osters IF1-2IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping4-3Osters IF
IFK Norrkoping1-1Osters IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Osters IF 1507 · IFK Norrkoping 1612

	Osters IF	Draw	IFK Norrkoping
Our model	23%	27%	50%
Market	24%	24%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1507 vs 1612).
H2H favours IFK Norrkoping: 3-1-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Osters IF	IFK Norrkoping
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	2.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.6	3.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.70

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:22 +2’	3.70	3.70	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Osters IF 0–1–3 IFK Norrkoping

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Sweden Superettan	IFK Norrkoping	2-0 HT 2-0	Osters IF
25/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Osters IF	1-2 HT 0-1	IFK Norrkoping
30/03/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping	4-3 HT 2-1	Osters IF
19/02/22 Sweden Cup	IFK Norrkoping	1-1 HT 1-0	Osters IF

Standings · Sweden Superettan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	24	16	4	4	45	15	52
2	Falkenbergs FF	24	13	5	6	46	33	44
3	Ostersunds FK	24	11	9	4	33	24	42
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	24	12	5	7	41	31	41
5	IK Oddevold	24	9	9	6	37	32	36
6	Nordic United FC	24	9	9	6	37	36	36
7	Landskrona BoIS	23	9	7	7	31	25	34
8	Sandvikens IF	23	9	6	8	38	30	33
9	Osters IF	23	10	3	10	34	34	33
10	Helsingborg	24	8	5	11	36	45	29
11	IFK Varnamo	23	7	5	11	30	41	26
12	Ljungskile	24	6	7	11	29	35	25
13	Orebro SK	24	5	9	10	25	35	24
14	Norrby IF	24	4	11	9	28	35	23
15	IK Brage	23	5	7	11	36	44	22
16	GIF Sundsvall	23	5	1	17	16	47	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Osters IF	IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF	1-2 L	2-1 W
Nordic United FC	1-2 L	3-1 W
Sandvikens IF	1-1 D	4-1 W
Ljungskile	3-2 W	2-2 D
Landskrona BoIS	0-1 L	1-0 W
Varbergs BoIS FC	3-0 W	2-0 W
IK Brage	3-2 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Osters IF

LWWLLWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-2	12	2	L
04/09	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
30/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
25/08	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
15/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
08/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
01/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
27/07	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	3-0	3	4	W
18/07	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-2	11	7	W
27/06	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-2	10	2	L

IFK Norrkoping

WWWWWWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
10/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
04/09	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	10	4	D
29/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
24/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
15/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	4-1	6	2	W
08/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	3-0	3-0	6	2	W
01/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
28/07	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/07	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Norrkoping win (51%). Probabilities: Osters IF 24%, draw 25%, IFK Norrkoping 51%.

How many goals are expected in Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Osters IF 1.05 · IFK Norrkoping 1.66), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.