Football · Sweden Superettan · 19/09, 17:00

Prediction: Sandvikens IF vs Orebro SK

Team pages: Sandvikens IF · Orebro SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Sandvikens IF1.71

Orebro SK1.32

1X2

46% 25% 29%

Sandvikens IF Draw Orebro SK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sandvikens IF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLDDWL

Orebro SK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWDLWD

Head-to-head

Sandvikens IF 3–1–2 Orebro SK (6 last)

Orebro SK1-1Sandvikens IF
Sandvikens IF2-1Orebro SK
Orebro SK0-1Sandvikens IF
Orebro SK1-0Sandvikens IF
Sandvikens IF2-1Orebro SK
Sandvikens IF0-1Orebro SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandvikens IF 1549 · Orebro SK 1494

	Sandvikens IF	Draw	Orebro SK
Our model	46%	26%	29%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sandvikens IF (rating 1549 vs 1494).
H2H favours Sandvikens IF: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandvikens IF	Orebro SK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	1.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +8’	1.95	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandvikens IF 3–1–2 Orebro SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	1-1 HT 1-1	Sandvikens IF
30/08/25 Sweden Superettan	Sandvikens IF	2-1 HT 1-0	Orebro SK
13/06/25 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	0-1 HT 0-0	Sandvikens IF
18/09/24 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	1-0 HT 0-0	Sandvikens IF
06/04/24 Sweden Superettan	Sandvikens IF	2-1 HT 1-0	Orebro SK
01/09/21 Sweden Cup Qualification	Sandvikens IF	0-1 HT 0-0	Orebro SK

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	24	16	4	4	45	15	52
2	Falkenbergs FF	24	13	5	6	46	33	44
3	Ostersunds FK	24	11	9	4	33	24	42
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	24	12	5	7	41	31	41
5	IK Oddevold	24	9	9	6	37	32	36
6	Nordic United FC	24	9	9	6	37	36	36
7	Landskrona BoIS	23	9	7	7	31	25	34
8	Sandvikens IF	23	9	6	8	38	30	33
9	Osters IF	23	10	3	10	34	34	33
10	Helsingborg	24	8	5	11	36	45	29
11	IFK Varnamo	23	7	5	11	30	41	26
12	Ljungskile	24	6	7	11	29	35	25
13	Orebro SK	24	5	9	10	25	35	24
14	Norrby IF	24	4	11	9	28	35	23
15	IK Brage	23	5	7	11	36	44	22
16	GIF Sundsvall	23	5	1	17	16	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandvikens IF	Orebro SK
IK Oddevold	0-1 L	0-0 D
Helsingborg	2-0 W	1-1 D
Norrby IF	1-1 D	1-3 L
Varbergs BoIS FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
GIF Sundsvall	5-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sandvikens IF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandvikens IF

WLWWWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
05/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
30/08	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
23/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
15/08	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-4	1	2	L
09/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
01/08	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	3-0	5-0	10	2	W
26/07	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-2	3-0	7	5	W
19/07	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
28/06	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	2-1	4-2	3	5	W

Orebro SK

LDLLDWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	9	7	D
10/09	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
07/09	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
01/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
25/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
14/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-3	10	2	D
10/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-3	11	1	L
03/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-3	6	2	L
27/07	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/07	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-2	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandvikens IF vs Orebro SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandvikens IF win (46%). Probabilities: Sandvikens IF 46%, draw 25%, Orebro SK 29%.

How many goals are expected in Sandvikens IF vs Orebro SK?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Sandvikens IF 1.71 · Orebro SK 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandvikens IF vs Orebro SK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.