Football · Sweden Superettan · 27/07, 19:05

Prediction: Osters IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Osters IF1.61

Varbergs BoIS FC1.77

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Osters IF Draw Varbergs BoIS FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Osters IF 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Varbergs BoIS FC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Osters IF 2–4 Varbergs BoIS FC (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Varbergs BoIS FC (rating 1499 vs 1578).
H2H favours Varbergs BoIS FC: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Osters IF	Varbergs BoIS FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.85 → 2.85	Pinn 2.85
X	3.55 → 3.56▲	Pinn 3.56
2	2.32 → 2.32	Pinn 2.32

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15	2.85	3.55	2.32
09:20	2.85	3.56▲	2.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Osters IF 2–0–4 Varbergs BoIS FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Sweden Superettan	Varbergs BoIS FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Osters IF
20/10/24 Sweden Superettan	Osters IF	3-4 HT 2-0	Varbergs BoIS FC
06/04/24 Sweden Superettan	Varbergs BoIS FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Osters IF
24/02/24 Sweden Cup	Varbergs BoIS FC	1-4 HT 1-2	Osters IF
13/11/22 Sweden Allsvenskan Qualification	Varbergs BoIS FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Osters IF
10/11/22 Sweden Allsvenskan Qualification	Osters IF	1-2 HT 1-1	Varbergs BoIS FC

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Varbergs BoIS FC	15	9	3	3	32	19	30
2	IFK Norrkoping	15	9	2	4	26	10	29
3	Falkenbergs FF	14	8	4	2	28	20	28
4	Landskrona BoIS	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
5	Ostersunds FK	15	7	4	4	24	19	25
6	Nordic United FC	15	7	4	4	25	22	25
7	Osters IF	15	7	2	6	24	25	23
8	IK Oddevold	15	5	5	5	28	26	20
9	Helsingborg	14	6	2	6	26	29	20
10	Sandvikens IF	15	5	4	6	24	23	19
11	Ljungskile	15	5	4	6	21	20	19
12	Norrby IF	15	3	8	4	19	21	17
13	IK Brage	15	4	4	7	28	29	16
14	Orebro SK	15	3	5	7	13	22	14
15	IFK Varnamo	15	3	1	11	17	34	10
16	GIF Sundsvall	15	3	0	12	12	34	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Osters IF	Varbergs BoIS FC
Falkenbergs FF	1-3 L	3-0 W
GIF Sundsvall	4-0 W	1-0 W
Norrby IF	2-1 W	4-2 W
IFK Norrkoping	0-2 L	0-2 L
Ljungskile	1-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Varbergs BoIS FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Osters IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-2	11	7	W
10/07	Lyngby Club Friendly List	–	0-3	–	–	L
27/06	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-2	10	2	L
21/06	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
15/06	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	4-0	4-0	5	4	W
10/06	Trelleborgs FF Club Friendly List	2-0	2-1	0	1	W
09/06	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
30/05	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	4	1	W
25/05	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
17/05	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-4	9	1	L

Varbergs BoIS FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-1	4-2	3	2	W
11/07	Norrby IF Club Friendly List	0-2	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
22/06	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-3	7	5	L
15/06	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
10/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
30/05	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-1	5	6	W
24/05	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/05	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
13/05	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-0	3-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Osters IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Varbergs BoIS FC win (41%). Probabilities: Osters IF 34%, draw 25%, Varbergs BoIS FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in Osters IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Osters IF 1.61 · Varbergs BoIS FC 1.77), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Osters IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.