Football · Sweden Superettan · 25/07, 15:00
Prediction: IFK Varnamo vs IK Brage
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
IFK Varnamo1.64
IK Brage1.82
1X2
IFK Varnamo
Draw
IK Brage
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IFK Varnamo
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
IK Brage
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IFK Varnamo
2–3
IK Brage
(5 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Brage (rating 1382 vs 1463).
- H2H favours IK Brage: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Varnamo | IK Brage | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.3 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/44/56% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Varnamo 2–0–3 IK Brage
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Sweden Superettan | IK Brage | 5-1 HT 2-1 | IFK Varnamo |
| 20/11/21 Sweden Superettan | IK Brage | 3-1 HT 3-0 | IFK Varnamo |
| 24/04/21 Sweden Superettan | IFK Varnamo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | IK Brage |
| 28/07/18 Sweden Superettan | IK Brage | 0-1 HT 0-0 | IFK Varnamo |
| 30/06/18 Sweden Superettan | IFK Varnamo | 2-3 HT 1-2 | IK Brage |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | IFK Norrkoping | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Falkenbergs FF | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 28 |
| 4 | Landskrona BoIS | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Ostersunds FK | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Nordic United FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 25 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 25 | 23 |
| 8 | IK Oddevold | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 20 |
| 9 | Helsingborg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 20 |
| 10 | Sandvikens IF | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 19 |
| 11 | Ljungskile | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | IK Brage | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 29 | 16 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 14 |
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 34 | 10 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IFK Varnamo | IK Brage |
|---|---|---|
| Ljungskile | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Landskrona BoIS | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Osters IF | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Nordic United FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Falkenbergs FF | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Orebro SK | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: IK Brage (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IFK Varnamo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 13/07 | Naestved Club Friendly List |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
IK Brage
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IFK Varnamo vs IK Brage?
According to our model, the most likely result is an IK Brage win (41%). Probabilities: IFK Varnamo 34%, draw 24%, IK Brage 41%.
How many goals are expected in IFK Varnamo vs IK Brage?
The model expects 3.46 goals (IFK Varnamo 1.64 · IK Brage 1.82), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IFK Varnamo vs IK Brage?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.