Football · Sweden Superettan · 04/09, 19:00

Prediction: IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile

Team pages: IFK Norrkoping · Ljungskile

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

IFK Norrkoping1.94

Ljungskile0.7

1X2

66% 23% 12%

IFK Norrkoping Draw Ljungskile

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Norrkoping 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWW

Ljungskile 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDLLDL

Head-to-head

IFK Norrkoping 1–0 Ljungskile (1 last)

Ljungskile0-1IFK Norrkoping

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1617 vs 1487).
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Norrkoping	Ljungskile
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.4	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	1.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.54 → 1.55▲	Pinn 1.55
X	4.25 → 4.31▲	Pinn 4.31
2	5.08 → 5.17▲	Pinn 5.17

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +1’	1.54	4.25	5.08
12:16	1.55▲	4.31▲	5.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping 1–0–0 Ljungskile

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Sweden Superettan	Ljungskile	0-1 HT 0-1	IFK Norrkoping

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	21	15	2	4	41	13	47
2	Falkenbergs FF	21	11	5	5	41	30	38
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	21	11	4	6	38	27	37
4	Ostersunds FK	21	9	8	4	30	23	35
5	Osters IF	21	10	3	8	32	30	33
6	Nordic United FC	21	8	8	5	32	30	32
7	Landskrona BoIS	21	8	7	6	27	22	31
8	Sandvikens IF	21	8	6	7	36	29	30
9	IK Oddevold	21	7	8	6	34	31	29
10	Helsingborg	20	7	4	9	33	40	25
11	Norrby IF	20	4	11	5	25	27	23
12	IFK Varnamo	21	6	4	11	25	38	22
13	Ljungskile	21	5	6	10	25	30	21
14	IK Brage	21	5	6	10	35	42	21
15	Orebro SK	20	4	7	9	20	32	19
16	GIF Sundsvall	20	3	1	16	14	44	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Norrkoping	Ljungskile
Nordic United FC	3-1 W	2-2 D
Sandvikens IF	4-1 W	2-1 W
Ostersunds FK	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Norrkoping

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
24/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
15/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	4-1	6	2	W
08/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	3-0	3-0	6	2	W
01/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
28/07	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/07	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
21/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/06	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	4	4	W

Ljungskile

DDWWWDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
24/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	2-2	2-3	5	4	L
08/08	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
02/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
26/07	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
19/07	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-2	1	3	W
27/06	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	1-2	3-2	8	4	W
22/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
14/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	1	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Norrkoping win (66%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping 66%, draw 23%, Ljungskile 12%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile?

The model expects 2.64 goals (IFK Norrkoping 1.94 · Ljungskile 0.7), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs Ljungskile?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.