Football · Sweden Superettan · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: IFK Norrkoping vs IK Oddevold

Team pages: IFK Norrkoping · IK Oddevold

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

IFK Norrkoping1.96

IK Oddevold1.04

1X2

58% 24% 19%

IFK Norrkoping Draw IK Oddevold

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Norrkoping 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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IK Oddevold 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

IFK Norrkoping 1–0 IK Oddevold (1 last)

IK Oddevold1-2IFK Norrkoping

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Norrkoping 1602 · IK Oddevold 1519

	IFK Norrkoping	Draw	IK Oddevold
Our model	58%	24%	19%
Market	58%	24%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1602 vs 1519).
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Norrkoping	IK Oddevold
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.6	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.9	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.90

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 14:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.61▲	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.56 ★
2	6.25 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:09 +5’	1.42	4.00	6.25
05:51 +4’	1.38▼	4.10▲	6.50▲
07:15 +3’	1.45▲	4.20▲	6.50
08:08 +1’	1.42▼	4.33▲	7.00▲
14:20 +6’	1.61▲	3.90▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +66’	1.55	4.42	5.06
22:31 +48’	1.49▼	4.74▲	5.39▲
20:05 +68’	1.44▼	4.95▲	5.84▲
16:59 +100’	1.46▲	4.89▼	5.93▲
03:19 +47’	1.43▼	5.18▲	6.28▲
07:09 +10’	1.44▲	5.06▼	6.17▼
07:32 +38’	1.41▼	5.25▲	6.44▲
11:40 +9’	1.43▲	5.14▼	6.22▼
14:21 +5’	1.60▲	4.56▼	4.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping 1–0–0 IK Oddevold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/06/26 Sweden Superettan	IK Oddevold	1-2 HT 1-2	IFK Norrkoping

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	23	16	3	4	45	15	51
2	Falkenbergs FF	23	12	5	6	44	33	41
3	Ostersunds FK	23	10	9	4	32	24	39
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	23	11	5	7	39	30	38
5	IK Oddevold	23	9	8	6	37	32	35
6	Nordic United FC	23	9	8	6	36	35	35
7	Landskrona BoIS	23	9	7	7	31	25	34
8	Sandvikens IF	23	9	6	8	38	30	33
9	Osters IF	23	10	3	10	34	34	33
10	Helsingborg	23	8	5	10	36	44	29
11	IFK Varnamo	23	7	5	11	30	41	26
12	Ljungskile	23	6	7	10	29	33	25
13	Norrby IF	23	4	11	8	27	33	23
14	Orebro SK	23	5	8	10	24	34	23
15	IK Brage	23	5	7	11	36	44	22
16	GIF Sundsvall	23	5	1	17	16	47	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Norrkoping	IK Oddevold
Varbergs BoIS FC	2-0 W	1-3 L
Ljungskile	2-2 D	1-0 W
Nordic United FC	3-1 W	3-3 D
Falkenbergs FF	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sandvikens IF	4-1 W	1-0 W
Helsingborg	2-0 W	3-1 W
Landskrona BoIS	1-0 W	1-1 D
Norrby IF	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Norrkoping

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
04/09	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	10	4	D
29/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
24/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
15/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	4-1	6	2	W
08/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	3-0	3-0	6	2	W
01/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
28/07	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/07	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	10	3	L

IK Oddevold

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
05/09	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
30/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-3	1-3	7	5	L
23/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	2-1	3-1	5	6	W
14/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
08/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
31/07	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
27/07	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
18/07	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-4	5	2	L
27/06	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-2	3-3	4	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping vs IK Oddevold?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Norrkoping win (58%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping 58%, draw 24%, IK Oddevold 19%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping vs IK Oddevold?

The model expects 3 goals (IFK Norrkoping 1.96 · IK Oddevold 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs IK Oddevold?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.