Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: Arsenal de Sarandi vs CSD Flandria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Arsenal de Sarandi1.68
CSD Flandria0.68
1X2
Arsenal de Sarandi
Draw
CSD Flandria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Arsenal de Sarandi
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CSD Flandria
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arsenal de Sarandi
0–1–0
CSD Flandria
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arsenal de Sarandi 1514 · CSD Flandria 1456
| Arsenal de Sarandi | Draw | CSD Flandria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 61% | 26% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal de Sarandi (rating 1514 vs 1456).
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arsenal de Sarandi | CSD Flandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 2.5 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.7 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal de Sarandi 0–1–0 CSD Flandria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arsenal de Sarandi |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 44 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 41 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 35 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportivo Laferrere | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 35 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 37 | 35 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 34 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 30 |
| 15 | CS Dock Sud | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 26 |
| 17 | CSD Flandria | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 31 | 26 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 25 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 24 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 24 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 25 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arsenal de Sarandi | CSD Flandria |
|---|---|---|
| Argentino Quilmes | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Defensores Unidos | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Comunicaciones | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal de Sarandi (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arsenal de Sarandi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 10/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
CSD Flandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal de Sarandi vs CSD Flandria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal de Sarandi win (61%). Probabilities: Arsenal de Sarandi 61%, draw 26%, CSD Flandria 14%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal de Sarandi vs CSD Flandria?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Arsenal de Sarandi 1.68 · CSD Flandria 0.68), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal de Sarandi vs CSD Flandria?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.