Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 26/07, 14:00

Prediction: FC Ilves vs FC Lahti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

FC Ilves1.67

FC Lahti1.28

1X2

46% 26% 28%

FC Ilves Draw FC Lahti

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ilves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Lahti 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Ilves 2–2–2 FC Lahti (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ilves	FC Lahti
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.4	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.8	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.05

Under 31.81

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.17 → 2.17	Pinn 2.17
X	3.87 → 3.87	Pinn 3.87
2	3.02 → 3.02	Pinn 3.02

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:31	2.17	3.87	3.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ilves 2–2–2 FC Lahti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Finland Cup	FC Ilves	5-2 HT 4-2	FC Lahti
30/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	5-0 HT 3-0	FC Ilves
29/06/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	2-2 HT 1-2	FC Ilves
06/04/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Ilves	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Lahti
21/10/23 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	1-5 HT 1-3	FC Ilves
03/09/23 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	3-2 HT 0-1	FC Ilves

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	16	9	6	1	29	15	33
2	FC Inter	16	8	7	1	23	12	31
3	VPS Vaasa	16	7	6	3	23	13	27
4	AC Oulu	16	8	2	6	20	20	26
5	HJK Helsinki	16	7	4	5	27	20	25
6	IF Gnistan	16	7	4	5	25	20	25
7	FC Lahti	16	6	4	6	20	15	22
8	TPS	16	6	4	6	20	19	22
9	FC Ilves	16	5	4	7	28	30	19
10	SJK	16	3	5	8	18	25	14
11	FF Jaro	16	2	6	8	15	32	12
12	IFK Mariehamn	16	0	4	12	8	35	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ilves	FC Lahti
TPS	3-1 W	0-0 D
HJK Helsinki	1-2 L	2-0 W
SJK	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ilves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Ilves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/07	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	3-1	6	8	W
16/07	FC 03 Differdange UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	3-1	0	6	W
08/07	FC 03 Differdange UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
04/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
01/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Cup	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
27/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
23/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-4	3-4	4	2	L
17/06	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	4-0	5-0	6	2	W
13/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/06	FC Lahti Finland Cup	4-2	5-2	2	9	W

FC Lahti

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
04/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
27/06	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
23/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
13/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
10/06	FC Ilves Finland Cup	2-4	2-5	3	9	L
30/05	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	3-0	5-0	1	3	W
26/05	IFK Mariehamn Finland Cup	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ilves vs FC Lahti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ilves win (46%). Probabilities: FC Ilves 46%, draw 26%, FC Lahti 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ilves vs FC Lahti?

The model expects 2.96 goals (FC Ilves 1.67 · FC Lahti 1.28), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ilves vs FC Lahti?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.