BetsTalentBetsTalent
ES EN
Log in Sign up Telegram
Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 26/07, 16:00

Prediction: HJK Helsinki vs TPS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
HJK Helsinki2.18
TPS1.16
1X2
60% 22% 19%
HJK Helsinki Draw TPS
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
HJK Helsinki 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWLWLW
TPS 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLDWLWL
Head-to-head
HJK Helsinki 4–1–1 TPS (6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK Helsinki (rating 1560 vs 1462).
  • H2H favours HJK Helsinki: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HJK HelsinkiTPS
Goals for / against (FT)3.5 / 1.51.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.70.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 7.22 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.43.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJK Helsinki 4–1–1 TPS

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Finland Veikkausliiga
TPS1-0
HT 0-0
HJK Helsinki
21/02/26
Finland Liigacup
HJK Helsinki3-1
HT 2-1
TPS
28/03/24
Europe Friendlies
HJK Helsinki5-1
HT 3-0
TPS
24/09/20
Finland Veikkausliiga
HJK Helsinki2-2
HT 0-0
TPS
22/07/20
Finland Veikkausliiga
TPS0-2
HT 0-1
HJK Helsinki
23/06/20
Finland Cup
TPS0-1
HT 0-0
HJK Helsinki

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 KuPS Kuopio 16961 291533
2 FC Inter 16871 231231
3 VPS Vaasa 16763 231327
4 AC Oulu 16826 202026
5 HJK Helsinki 16745 272025
6 IF Gnistan 16745 252025
7 FC Lahti 16646 201522
8 TPS 16646 201922
9 FC Ilves 16547 283019
10 SJK 16358 182514
11 FF Jaro 16268 153212
12 IFK Mariehamn 160412 8354

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHJK HelsinkiTPS
VPS Vaasa 2-1 W 1-0 W
FC Lahti 0-2 L 0-0 D
FC Ilves 2-1 W 1-3 L
KuPS Kuopio 0-4 L 1-2 L
FC Inter 3-3 D 1-2 L
FF Jaro 5-2 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HJK Helsinki (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HJK Helsinki

WWWWDWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 VPS Vaasa
Finland Veikkausliiga
 1-0 2-1 34 W
11/07 FC Lahti
Finland Veikkausliiga
 0-1 0-2 33 L
01/07 FC Ilves
Finland Cup
 1-0 2-1 63 W
27/06 KuPS Kuopio
Finland Veikkausliiga
 0-1 0-4 81 L
23/06 IFK Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
 1-0 4-0 73 W
17/06 FC Inter
Finland Veikkausliiga
 1-2 3-3 102 D
13/06 FF Jaro
Finland Veikkausliiga
 1-2 5-2 35 W
09/06 FC Honka
Finland Cup
 4-1 7-1 123 W
30/05 IFK Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
 0-0 1-0 76 W
26/05 MyPa
Finland Cup
 6-0 11-1 131 W

TPS

LLWLLDWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/07 FC Ilves
Finland Veikkausliiga
 1-2 1-3 78 L
11/07 AC Oulu
Finland Veikkausliiga
 3-0 3-0 22 W
04/07 SJK
Finland Veikkausliiga
 0-1 1-3 73 L
27/06 FF Jaro
Finland Veikkausliiga
 1-2 3-2 43 W
23/06 FC Lahti
Finland Veikkausliiga
 0-0 0-0 25 D
17/06 KuPS Kuopio
Finland Veikkausliiga
 0-1 1-2 43 L
13/06 FC Ilves
Finland Veikkausliiga
 0-0 0-1 44 L
30/05 VPS Vaasa
Finland Veikkausliiga
 0-0 1-0 24 W
27/05 FC Ilves
Finland Cup
 0-1 0-1 13 L
23/05 FC Inter
Finland Veikkausliiga
 1-2 1-2 14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJK Helsinki vs TPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HJK Helsinki win (60%). Probabilities: HJK Helsinki 60%, draw 22%, TPS 19%.

How many goals are expected in HJK Helsinki vs TPS?

The model expects 3.34 goals (HJK Helsinki 2.18 · TPS 1.16), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HJK Helsinki vs TPS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.