Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Vaasa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

KuPS Kuopio1.81

VPS Vaasa0.86

1X2

59% 25% 16%

KuPS Kuopio Draw VPS Vaasa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KuPS Kuopio 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWWWLW

VPS Vaasa 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWDLWWL

Head-to-head

KuPS Kuopio 2–3–1 VPS Vaasa (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KuPS Kuopio (rating 1601 vs 1513).
H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KuPS Kuopio	VPS Vaasa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.7	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.02

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.78 → 1.78	Pinn 1.78
X	4.02 → 4.02	Pinn 4.02
2	4.12 → 4.12	Pinn 4.12

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +1’	1.78	4.02	4.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KuPS Kuopio 2–3–1 VPS Vaasa

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	1-1 HT 1-0	KuPS Kuopio
10/06/26 Finland Cup	KuPS Kuopio	0-0 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
31/01/26 Finland Liigacup	KuPS Kuopio	3-1 HT 1-0	VPS Vaasa
19/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	1-1 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio
25/05/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	0-2 HT 0-1	VPS Vaasa
01/02/25 Finland Liigacup	KuPS Kuopio	2-0 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	16	9	6	1	29	15	33
2	FC Inter	15	8	6	1	23	12	30
3	VPS Vaasa	16	7	6	3	23	13	27
4	AC Oulu	16	8	2	6	20	20	26
5	HJK Helsinki	16	7	4	5	27	20	25
6	IF Gnistan	16	7	4	5	25	20	25
7	TPS	15	6	4	5	19	16	22
8	FC Lahti	15	5	4	6	18	15	19
9	FC Ilves	15	4	4	7	25	29	16
10	SJK	16	3	5	8	18	25	14
11	FF Jaro	15	2	5	8	15	32	11
12	IFK Mariehamn	15	0	4	11	8	33	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KuPS Kuopio	VPS Vaasa
SJK	2-0 W	1-0 W
HJK Helsinki	4-0 W	1-2 L
TPS	2-1 W	0-1 L
FC Inter	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: KuPS Kuopio (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KuPS Kuopio

WDDDWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
14/07	Vardar Skopje UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	0-2	12	8	L
07/07	Vardar Skopje UEFA Champions League Qualifying	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
27/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	4-0	9	1	W
23/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	4-1	4-3	4	2	W
17/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
13/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	10	8	D
10/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Cup	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
30/05	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/05	JaPS Finland Cup	0-0	1-0	10	3	W

VPS Vaasa

LDDWWDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
10/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
04/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
30/06	FC Inter Finland Cup	1-0	2-3	3	2	L
27/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
23/06	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	3-1	5-1	2	2	W
17/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
13/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
10/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Cup	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/05	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	9	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Vaasa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KuPS Kuopio win (59%). Probabilities: KuPS Kuopio 59%, draw 25%, VPS Vaasa 16%.

How many goals are expected in KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Vaasa?

The model expects 2.67 goals (KuPS Kuopio 1.81 · VPS Vaasa 0.86), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Vaasa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.