Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 26/09, 15:00
Prediction: Stabaek (W) vs SK Brann (W)
Team pages: Stabaek (W) · SK Brann (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Stabaek (W)0.75
SK Brann (W)2.58
1X2
Stabaek (W)
Draw
SK Brann (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Stabaek (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
SK Brann (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stabaek (W)
1–5
SK Brann (W)
(6 last)
- SK Brann (W)1-0Stabaek (W)
- Stabaek (W)1-3SK Brann (W)
- SK Brann (W)3-0Stabaek (W)
- Stabaek (W)0-1SK Brann (W)
- SK Brann (W)3-0Stabaek (W)
- SK Brann (W)0-1Stabaek (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stabaek (W) 1522 · SK Brann (W) 1669
| Stabaek (W) | Draw | SK Brann (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 16% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 16% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Brann (W) (rating 1522 vs 1669).
- H2H favours SK Brann (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stabaek (W) | SK Brann (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 4.7 / 8.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stabaek (W) 1–0–5 SK Brann (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Norway Toppserien Women | SK Brann (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stabaek (W) |
| 07/11/25 Norway Toppserien Women | Stabaek (W) | 1-3 HT 0-3 | SK Brann (W) |
| 15/05/25 Norway Toppserien Women | SK Brann (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Stabaek (W) |
| 28/03/25 Norway Toppserien Women | Stabaek (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | SK Brann (W) |
| 12/10/24 Norway Toppserien Women | SK Brann (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Stabaek (W) |
| 25/05/24 Norway Toppserien Women | SK Brann (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Stabaek (W) |
Standings · Norway Toppserien Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Brann (W) | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 4 | 44 |
| 2 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Rosenborg (W) | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | Valerenga (W) | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 31 |
| 5 | Stabaek (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 19 | 24 |
| 6 | Lyn (W) | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 22 |
| 7 | Molde FK (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 18 |
| 8 | LSK Kvinner (W) | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 15 |
| 9 | Haugesund (W) | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 15 |
| 10 | Honefoss (W) | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 12 |
| 11 | Roa (W) | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 11 |
| 12 | Bodo/Glimt (W) | 16 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stabaek (W) | SK Brann (W) |
|---|---|---|
| LSK Kvinner (W) | 5-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Bodo/Glimt (W) | 7-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Haugesund (W) | 1-1 D | 7-0 W |
| Roa (W) | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| Honefoss (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: SK Brann (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stabaek (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
6-0 | 7-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
SK Brann (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stabaek (W) vs SK Brann (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Brann (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Stabaek (W) 8%, draw 16%, SK Brann (W) 76%.
How many goals are expected in Stabaek (W) vs SK Brann (W)?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Stabaek (W) 0.75 · SK Brann (W) 2.58), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stabaek (W) vs SK Brann (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.