Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 04/10, 13:00

Prediction: Roa (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W)

Team pages: Roa (W) · LSK Kvinner (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Roa (W)1.52

LSK Kvinner (W)1.61

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Roa (W) Draw LSK Kvinner (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Roa (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLLLDL

LSK Kvinner (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Roa (W) 2–1–3 LSK Kvinner (W) (6 last)

LSK Kvinner (W)1-3Roa (W)
Roa (W)2-3LSK Kvinner (W)
Roa (W)1-1LSK Kvinner (W)
LSK Kvinner (W)1-2Roa (W)
Roa (W)2-4LSK Kvinner (W)
LSK Kvinner (W)1-0Roa (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roa (W) 1434 · LSK Kvinner (W) 1417

	Roa (W)	Draw	LSK Kvinner (W)
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LSK Kvinner (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Roa (W)	LSK Kvinner (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.3 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.62
2	2.30 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.88 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +9’	2.55	3.50	2.30
17:12 +3’	2.45▼	3.50	2.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +37’	2.14	3.62	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Roa (W) 2–1–3 LSK Kvinner (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Norway Toppserien Women	LSK Kvinner (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	Roa (W)
19/10/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Roa (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	LSK Kvinner (W)
16/08/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Roa (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	LSK Kvinner (W)
12/04/25 Norway Toppserien Women	LSK Kvinner (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Roa (W)
14/03/25 Women’s Friendly	Roa (W)	2-4 HT 0-1	LSK Kvinner (W)
07/09/24 Norway Toppserien Women	LSK Kvinner (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Roa (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	17	15	2	0	53	4	47
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	17	13	2	2	42	16	41
3	Rosenborg (W)	17	11	4	2	32	19	37
4	Valerenga (W)	17	11	1	5	45	24	34
5	Stabaek (W)	17	7	3	7	33	20	24
6	Lyn (W)	17	6	5	6	30	23	23
7	Molde FK (W)	17	5	3	9	23	33	18
8	Haugesund (W)	17	5	3	9	22	40	18
9	LSK Kvinner (W)	17	4	3	10	23	33	15
10	Honefoss (W)	17	3	4	10	13	30	13
11	Roa (W)	17	2	5	10	16	36	11
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	17	1	3	13	11	65	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Roa (W)	LSK Kvinner (W)
Bodo/Glimt (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Honefoss (W)	0-0 D	3-2 W
Lyn (W)	1-3 L	2-3 L
SK Brann (W)	1-5 L	0-0 D
Molde FK (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Stabaek (W)	1-0 W	1-5 L
Haugesund (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	2-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: LSK Kvinner (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roa (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-2	8	3	L
19/09	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
11/09	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-3	3-6	1	1	L
31/08	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
21/08	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-5	0	1	L
15/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	4	0	D
20/06	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
13/06	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	0	3	D
30/05	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
26/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-3	3	0	L

LSK Kvinner (W)

WWLDLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
19/09	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	2-3	0	3	L
13/09	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	1-5	3	2	L
01/09	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
22/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
15/08	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
21/06	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/06	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
30/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
26/05	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	3-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roa (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an LSK Kvinner (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Roa (W) 35%, draw 26%, LSK Kvinner (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Roa (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W)?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Roa (W) 1.52 · LSK Kvinner (W) 1.61), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Roa (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.