Football · Norway Division 1 · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: Hodd vs Bryne

Team pages: Hodd · Bryne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Hodd1.32

Bryne1.64

1X2

30% 26% 44%

Hodd Draw Bryne

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hodd 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLDWL

Bryne 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLDLD

Head-to-head

Hodd 1–1–4 Bryne (6 last)

Bryne1-0Hodd
Bryne2-1Hodd
Hodd0-1Bryne
Hodd2-1Bryne
Bryne1-1Hodd
Bryne4-1Hodd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hodd 1451 · Bryne 1512

	Hodd	Draw	Bryne
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	30%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bryne (rating 1451 vs 1512).
H2H favours Bryne: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hodd	Bryne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.4	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.50

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 22:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.27 ★
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.69
2	1.95 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:18 +8’	3.20	3.60	1.95
21:26 +1’	3.25▲	3.60	1.95
01:19 +7’	3.00▼	3.50▼	2.05▲
11:41 +8’	3.20▲	3.60▲	2.00▼
22:39 +14’	3.00▼	3.50▼	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:52 +211’	3.51	4.00	1.88
21:18 +9’	3.20▼	3.85▼	2.04▲
10:02 +25’	3.21▲	3.87▲	2.03▼
11:26 +23’	3.46▲	3.91▲	1.93▼
22:37 +16’	3.27▼	3.69▼	2.04▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hodd 1–1–4 Bryne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Norway Division 1	Bryne	1-0 HT 0-0	Hodd
13/08/23 Norway Division 1	Bryne	2-1 HT 1-0	Hodd
24/06/23 Norway Division 1	Hodd	0-1 HT 0-0	Bryne
15/09/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Hodd	2-1 HT 2-0	Bryne
30/06/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Bryne	1-1 HT 1-0	Hodd
23/09/18 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Bryne	4-1 HT 1-1	Hodd

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	28	20	2	6	81	47	62
2	Stromsgodset	28	18	6	4	76	34	60
3	Kongsvinger	28	18	5	5	82	45	59
4	Stabaek	28	17	4	7	66	34	55
5	Odd BK	28	13	6	9	54	43	45
6	Bryne	28	12	4	12	40	41	40
7	Ranheim	28	11	5	12	71	68	38
8	Hodd	28	11	5	12	49	56	38
9	Strommen	28	10	6	12	49	59	36
10	Egersund	28	9	8	11	45	56	35
11	Lyn 1896	28	9	4	15	42	59	31
12	Sogndal	28	8	6	14	47	61	30
13	Sandnes Ulf	28	8	5	15	39	55	29
14	Moss	28	8	5	15	41	59	29
15	Asane	28	7	5	16	40	62	25
16	Raufoss	28	6	2	20	31	74	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hodd	Bryne
Haugesund	2-3 L	0-2 L
Raufoss	5-1 W	1-1 D
Ranheim	1-1 D	2-4 L
Egersund	1-3 L	3-3 D
Odd BK	2-3 L	1-2 L
Lyn 1896	0-2 L	1-0 W
Asane	2-2 D	4-0 W
Stabaek	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bryne (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hodd

LWDLLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-1	2-3	1	2	L
18/10	Raufoss Norway Division 1	3-0	5-1	6	1	W
14/10	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
11/10	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-2	1-3	3	6	L
03/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
20/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-2	1-5	3	4	L
13/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
05/09	Asane Norway Division 1	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
30/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
26/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	2	4	L

Bryne

WLLWWWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Egersund Norway Division 1	3-1	3-3	4	5	D
18/10	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-3	2-4	13	1	L
14/10	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
11/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
04/10	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	12	1	W
19/09	Asane Norway Division 1	3-0	4-0	4	4	W
12/09	Stabaek Norway Division 1	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
05/09	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
22/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hodd vs Bryne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bryne win (44%). Probabilities: Hodd 30%, draw 26%, Bryne 44%.

How many goals are expected in Hodd vs Bryne?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Hodd 1.32 · Bryne 1.64), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hodd vs Bryne?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.