Football · Norway Division 1 · 01/11, 17:00
Prediction: Asane vs Haugesund
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Asane1.14
Haugesund2.45
1X2
Asane
Draw
Haugesund
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Asane
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Haugesund
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Asane
0–3–3
Haugesund
(6 last)
- Haugesund1-1Asane
- Asane1-2Haugesund
- Haugesund4-1Asane
- Haugesund1-1Asane
- Haugesund1-1Asane
- Asane1-4Haugesund
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asane 1466 · Haugesund 1595
| Asane | Draw | Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 19% | 65% |
| Market | 16% | 19% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (rating 1466 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Haugesund: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Asane | Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.2 | 2.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5 | 3.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Asane 0–3–3 Haugesund
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Norway Division 1 | Haugesund | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Asane |
| 14/03/24 Europe Friendlies | Asane | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Haugesund |
| 17/02/23 Europe Friendlies | Haugesund | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Asane |
| 28/01/22 Europe Friendlies | Haugesund | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Asane |
| 25/04/21 Europe Friendlies | Haugesund | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Asane |
| 04/05/16 Norway Cup | Asane | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Haugesund |
Standings · Norway Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 28 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 81 | 47 | 62 |
| 2 | Stromsgodset | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 76 | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 45 | 59 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 54 | 43 | 45 |
| 6 | Bryne | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 41 | 40 |
| 7 | Ranheim | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 68 | 38 |
| 8 | Hodd | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49 | 56 | 38 |
| 9 | Strommen | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 49 | 59 | 36 |
| 10 | Egersund | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 56 | 35 |
| 11 | Lyn 1896 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 59 | 31 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 61 | 30 |
| 13 | Sandnes Ulf | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 55 | 29 |
| 14 | Moss | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 59 | 29 |
| 15 | Asane | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | 25 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 31 | 74 | 20 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Asane | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Moss | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Stabaek | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Strommen | 1-6 L | 4-2 W |
| Sogndal | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Stromsgodset | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Bryne | 0-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Hodd | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Egersund | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Lyn 1896 | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 8 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Haugesund (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/10 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/08 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Haugesund
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/10 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asane vs Haugesund?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Haugesund win (65%). Probabilities: Asane 15%, draw 19%, Haugesund 65%.
How many goals are expected in Asane vs Haugesund?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Asane 1.14 · Haugesund 2.45), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Asane vs Haugesund?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.