Prediction: Stromsgodset vs Moss
Team pages: Stromsgodset · Moss
- Moss1-1Stromsgodset
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Moss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Market | 75% | 14% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1597 vs 1465).
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stromsgodset | Moss | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.9 / 7.7 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.4 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stromsgodset 0–1–0 Moss
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Stromsgodset |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 28 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 81 | 47 | 62 |
| 2 | Stromsgodset | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 76 | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 45 | 59 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 54 | 43 | 45 |
| 6 | Bryne | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 41 | 40 |
| 7 | Ranheim | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 68 | 38 |
| 8 | Hodd | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49 | 56 | 38 |
| 9 | Strommen | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 49 | 59 | 36 |
| 10 | Egersund | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 56 | 35 |
| 11 | Lyn 1896 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 59 | 31 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 61 | 30 |
| 13 | Sandnes Ulf | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 55 | 29 |
| 14 | Moss | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 59 | 29 |
| 15 | Asane | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | 25 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 31 | 74 | 20 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stromsgodset | Moss |
|---|---|---|
| Strommen | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Haugesund | 5-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Kongsvinger | 5-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Lyn 1896 | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Asane | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Raufoss | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sandnes Ulf | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Sogndal | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Stromsgodset (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stromsgodset
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/10 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
4-0 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/09 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
Moss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/10 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 11/10 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/10 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/08 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stromsgodset vs Moss?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stromsgodset win (75%). Probabilities: Stromsgodset 75%, draw 15%, Moss 10%.
How many goals are expected in Stromsgodset vs Moss?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Stromsgodset 2.78 · Moss 0.98), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Stromsgodset vs Moss?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.