Football · Norway Division 1 · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: Lyn 1896 vs Raufoss

Team pages: Lyn 1896 · Raufoss

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Lyn 18962.45
Raufoss1.05
1X2
67% 19% 14%
Lyn 1896 Draw Raufoss
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Lyn 1896 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDDWLLLLWL
Raufoss 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLDLLL
Head-to-head
Lyn 1896 3–3 Raufoss (6 last)
  • Raufoss0-1Lyn 1896
  • Raufoss2-1Lyn 1896
  • Raufoss0-3Lyn 1896
  • Lyn 18963-2Raufoss
  • Lyn 18961-2Raufoss
  • Raufoss1-0Lyn 1896
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lyn 1896 1511 · Raufoss 1403
Lyn 1896DrawRaufoss
Our model67%19%14%
Market67%19%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lyn 1896 (rating 1511 vs 1403).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lyn 1896Raufoss
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 2.10.9 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.23.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.21.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyn 1896 3–0–3 Raufoss

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Norway Division 1
Raufoss0-1
HT 0-0
Lyn 1896
06/02/26
Europe Friendlies
Raufoss2-1
HT 1-0
Lyn 1896
02/08/25
Norway Division 1
Raufoss0-3
HT 0-1
Lyn 1896
18/06/25
Norway Division 1
Lyn 18963-2
HT 0-1
Raufoss
29/09/24
Norway Division 1
Lyn 18961-2
HT 0-1
Raufoss
27/05/24
Norway Division 1
Raufoss1-0
HT 0-0
Lyn 1896

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 282026 814762
2 Stromsgodset 281864 763460
3 Kongsvinger 281855 824559
4 Stabaek 281747 663455
5 Odd BK 281369 544345
6 Bryne 2812412 404140
7 Ranheim 2811512 716838
8 Hodd 2811512 495638
9 Strommen 2810612 495936
10 Egersund 289811 455635
11 Lyn 1896 289415 425931
12 Sogndal 288614 476130
13 Sandnes Ulf 288515 395529
14 Moss 288515 415929
15 Asane 287516 406225
16 Raufoss 286220 317420

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLyn 1896Raufoss
Sandnes Ulf 1-2 L 0-3 L
Moss 1-0 W 1-2 L
Stromsgodset 1-5 L 0-2 L
Bryne 0-1 L 1-1 D
Ranheim 1-4 L 1-3 L
Hodd 2-0 W 1-5 L
Kongsvinger 4-4 D 1-9 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 4 L 0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Lyn 1896 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lyn 1896

WDDWLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-2 75 L
18/10 Moss
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-0 64 W
14/10 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-3 25 L
11/10 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-3 1-5 52 L
04/10 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-1 51 L
20/09 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-4 82 L
13/09 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-0 2-0 43 W
06/09 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-1 64 D
30/08 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
2-2 4-4 35 D
26/08 Asane
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-1 65 W

Raufoss

LLLWLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-3 52 L
21/10 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-2 50 L
18/10 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-3 1-5 21 L
14/10 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-1 23 D
11/10 Moss
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-2 41 L
20/09 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 65 L
13/09 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-1 65 W
05/09 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-3 1-9 20 L
30/08 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-3 132 L
26/08 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-3 51 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lyn 1896 vs Raufoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lyn 1896 win (67%). Probabilities: Lyn 1896 67%, draw 19%, Raufoss 14%.

How many goals are expected in Lyn 1896 vs Raufoss?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Lyn 1896 2.45 · Raufoss 1.05), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lyn 1896 vs Raufoss?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.