Football · Norway Division 1 · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Raufoss vs Ranheim

Team pages: Raufoss · Ranheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.25Total

Raufoss1.68

Ranheim2.57

1X2

23% 21% 56%

Raufoss Draw Ranheim

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Raufoss 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Ranheim 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Raufoss 1–2–3 Ranheim (6 last)

Ranheim5-1Raufoss
Raufoss1-2Ranheim
Ranheim1-1Raufoss
Raufoss1-1Ranheim
Ranheim1-0Raufoss
Ranheim1-2Raufoss

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raufoss 1404 · Ranheim 1522

	Raufoss	Draw	Ranheim
Our model	24%	20%	56%
Market	23%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 4.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ranheim (rating 1404 vs 1522).
H2H favours Ranheim: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Raufoss	Ranheim
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3	2.5 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.2	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X4.10

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.35
2	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.74 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +4’	3.90	4.10	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:11 +6’	4.15	4.44	1.63
20:24	4.29▲	4.54▲	1.63
20:44 +58’	4.11▼	4.48▼	1.66▲
22:23 +13’	3.82▼	4.35▼	1.74▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raufoss 1–2–3 Ranheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	5-1 HT 2-0	Raufoss
29/09/25 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	1-2 HT 1-1	Ranheim
15/05/25 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	1-1 HT 0-0	Raufoss
25/09/24 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	1-1 HT 0-0	Ranheim
16/06/24 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	1-0 HT 0-0	Raufoss
01/05/24 Norway Cup	Ranheim	1-2 HT 0-1	Raufoss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	27	18	6	3	76	33	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	81	42	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	78	45	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	64	34	52
5	Odd BK	27	13	6	8	54	41	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	37	38	39
7	Hodd	27	11	5	11	47	53	38
8	Ranheim	27	10	5	12	68	67	35
9	Egersund	27	9	7	11	42	53	34
10	Strommen	27	9	6	12	48	59	33
11	Lyn 1896	27	9	4	14	41	57	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	40	56	29
13	Sandnes Ulf	27	7	5	15	37	54	26
14	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	42	59	24
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	37	61	22
16	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	29	69	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Raufoss	Ranheim
Hodd	1-5 L	1-1 D
Bryne	1-1 D	4-2 W
Stromsgodset	0-2 L	1-3 L
Odd BK	2-1 W	3-5 L
Kongsvinger	1-9 L	2-6 L
Sandnes Ulf	0-3 L	1-1 D
Asane	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ranheim (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raufoss

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	5	0	L
18/10	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-3	1-5	2	1	L
14/10	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
11/10	Moss Norway Division 1	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
20/09	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
13/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
05/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-3	1-9	2	0	L
30/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	0-3	13	2	L
26/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
16/08	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L

Ranheim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Bryne Norway Division 1	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
14/10	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	2-2	2-6	5	6	L
02/10	Egersund Norway Division 1	3-0	5-0	3	3	W
20/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
13/09	Asane Norway Division 1	0-2	2-2	8	3	D
05/09	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
30/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	2-4	3-5	8	4	L
26/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	2-2	2-4	4	2	L
15/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-1	1-3	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raufoss vs Ranheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ranheim win (56%). Probabilities: Raufoss 23%, draw 21%, Ranheim 56%.

How many goals are expected in Raufoss vs Ranheim?

The model expects 4.25 goals (Raufoss 1.68 · Ranheim 2.57), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Ranheim?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.