Football · Norway Division 1 · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: Strommen vs Stromsgodset

Team pages: Strommen · Stromsgodset

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Strommen1.32

Stromsgodset2.69

1X2

16% 19% 66%

Strommen Draw Stromsgodset

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Strommen 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDDWW

Stromsgodset 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Strommen 0–1 Stromsgodset (1 last)

Stromsgodset3-0Strommen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strommen 1524 · Stromsgodset 1648

	Strommen	Draw	Stromsgodset
Our model	16%	18%	66%
Market	16%	19%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1524 vs 1648).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Strommen	Stromsgodset
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.8	3.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	4.6 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.75

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 5.75▼	Pinn 6.59 ★
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.40
2	1.36 → 1.38▲	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:15 +4’	6.00	4.75	1.36
02:16 +3’	5.75▼	4.75	1.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:53 +325’	6.23	5.33	1.38
18:50 +38’	6.17▼	5.28▼	1.39▲
00:52 +22’	6.67▲	5.44▲	1.35▼
05:38 +36’	6.59▼	5.40▼	1.36▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Strommen 0–0–1 Stromsgodset

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Norway Division 1	Stromsgodset	3-0 HT 1-0	Strommen

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	27	18	6	3	76	33	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	81	42	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	78	45	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	64	34	52
5	Odd BK	27	13	6	8	54	41	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	37	38	39
7	Hodd	27	11	5	11	47	53	38
8	Ranheim	27	10	5	12	68	67	35
9	Egersund	27	9	7	11	42	53	34
10	Strommen	27	9	6	12	48	59	33
11	Lyn 1896	27	9	4	14	41	57	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	40	56	29
13	Sandnes Ulf	27	7	5	15	37	54	26
14	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	42	59	24
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	37	61	22
16	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	29	69	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strommen	Stromsgodset
Odd BK	2-1 W	1-1 D
Asane	6-1 W	1-0 W
Sandnes Ulf	3-3 D	4-1 W
Haugesund	2-4 L	5-0 W
Sogndal	1-1 D	3-2 W
Raufoss	3-1 W	2-0 W
Hodd	3-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Stromsgodset (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strommen

LWWWDLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-1	2-1	1	5	W
14/10	Asane Norway Division 1	2-0	6-1	7	1	W
11/10	Stabaek Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
03/10	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	2-2	3-3	8	7	D
20/09	Haugesund Norway Division 1	2-2	2-4	4	3	L
13/09	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
05/09	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
30/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
26/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	2-0	3-1	11	1	W
16/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-3	3-4	5	3	L

Stromsgodset

WWWDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	3-0	5-0	5	4	W
14/10	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	4-0	5-1	10	2	W
11/10	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	3-0	5-1	4	2	W
03/10	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
20/09	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
13/09	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-1	4-1	9	2	W
05/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	8	5	W
26/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	9	4	W
15/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	3-1	13	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strommen vs Stromsgodset?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stromsgodset win (66%). Probabilities: Strommen 16%, draw 19%, Stromsgodset 66%.

How many goals are expected in Strommen vs Stromsgodset?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Strommen 1.32 · Stromsgodset 2.69), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Strommen vs Stromsgodset?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.