Football · Norway Eliteserien · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam

Team pages: Rosenborg · Ham-Kam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Rosenborg1.97

Ham-Kam1.45

1X2

49% 24% 28%

Rosenborg Draw Ham-Kam

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Rosenborg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWLWWL

Ham-Kam 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLWDLD

Head-to-head

Rosenborg 4–2 Ham-Kam (6 last)

Ham-Kam4-0Rosenborg
Rosenborg2-0Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam0-2Rosenborg
Rosenborg1-0Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam3-0Rosenborg
Rosenborg4-0Ham-Kam

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rosenborg: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rosenborg	Ham-Kam
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.3	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.89

Under 31.94

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.42
X	4.97 → 4.97	Pinn 4.97
2	6.77 → 6.77	Pinn 6.77

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +2’	1.42	4.97	6.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosenborg 4–0–2 Ham-Kam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/09/25 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	4-0 HT 3-0	Rosenborg
13/07/25 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	2-0 HT 2-0	Ham-Kam
10/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	0-2 HT 0-2	Rosenborg
14/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	1-0 HT 1-0	Ham-Kam
20/08/23 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	3-0 HT 2-0	Rosenborg
04/06/23 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	4-0 HT 1-0	Ham-Kam

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	14	2	2	47	14	44
2	Viking FK	18	14	1	3	42	18	43
3	Tromso	18	10	5	3	34	20	35
4	Molde	18	9	3	6	36	29	30
5	SK Brann	18	8	2	8	36	27	26
6	Lillestrom	18	8	2	8	24	25	26
7	Fredrikstad	18	8	2	8	22	28	26
8	Rosenborg	18	7	3	8	27	26	24
9	Sarpsborg	18	6	5	7	20	23	23
10	Ham-Kam	18	6	5	7	26	32	23
11	Valerenga	18	6	3	9	31	38	21
12	Sandefjord	18	5	4	9	15	23	19
13	KFUM	18	5	4	9	20	31	19
14	Kristiansund BK	18	4	4	10	17	29	16
15	Aalesund	18	2	9	7	28	43	15
16	IK Start	18	3	4	11	20	39	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rosenborg	Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt	2-4 L	0-3 L
Lillestrom	2-0 W	2-0 W
SK Brann	2-3 L	0-3 L
Kristiansund BK	3-0 W	2-2 D
Aalesund	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rosenborg

LLDWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	2	2	L
14/08	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	9	0	W
09/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
02/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-3	12	5	L
27/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	2-0	4-0	10	1	W
18/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
12/07	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
29/05	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	0	3	D
25/05	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
16/05	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-3	11	8	L

Ham-Kam

WDDLLLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-2	9	3	D
16/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
09/08	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
31/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
26/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
22/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
18/07	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-4	1	0	L
12/07	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-2	7	4	D
29/05	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
25/05	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosenborg win (49%). Probabilities: Rosenborg 49%, draw 24%, Ham-Kam 28%.

How many goals are expected in Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Rosenborg 1.97 · Ham-Kam 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.