Football · Norway Eliteserien · 04/09, 21:00

Prediction: Sandefjord vs Viking FK

Team pages: Sandefjord · Viking FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Sandefjord1.51

Viking FK1.8

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Sandefjord Draw Viking FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sandefjord 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLLLWD

Viking FK 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWLW

Head-to-head

Sandefjord 0–6 Viking FK (6 last)

Viking FK2-1Sandefjord
Sandefjord1-2Viking FK
Viking FK3-1Sandefjord
Viking FK3-2Sandefjord
Sandefjord0-3Viking FK
Viking FK4-3Sandefjord

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking FK (rating 1480 vs 1579).
H2H favours Viking FK: 6-0-0.
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandefjord	Viking FK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	4.8 / 8.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.19 → 4.47▲	Pinn 4.47
X	4.20 → 4.30▲	Pinn 4.30
2	1.74 → 1.68▼	Pinn 1.68

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:18 +1’	4.19	4.20	1.74
12:17	4.47▲	4.30▲	1.68▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 0–0–6 Viking FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	Viking FK	2-1 HT 1-0	Sandefjord
10/08/25 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	1-2 HT 1-0	Viking FK
16/05/25 Norway Eliteserien	Viking FK	3-1 HT 0-0	Sandefjord
02/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	Viking FK	3-2 HT 2-2	Sandefjord
20/05/24 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	0-3 HT 0-1	Viking FK
24/09/23 Norway Eliteserien	Viking FK	4-3 HT 2-2	Sandefjord

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	14	2	2	47	14	44
2	Viking FK	18	14	1	3	42	18	43
3	Tromso	18	10	5	3	34	20	35
4	Molde	18	9	3	6	36	29	30
5	SK Brann	18	8	2	8	36	27	26
6	Lillestrom	18	8	2	8	24	25	26
7	Fredrikstad	18	8	2	8	22	28	26
8	Rosenborg	18	7	3	8	27	26	24
9	Sarpsborg	18	6	5	7	20	23	23
10	Ham-Kam	18	6	5	7	26	32	23
11	Valerenga	18	6	3	9	31	38	21
12	Sandefjord	18	5	4	9	15	23	19
13	KFUM	18	5	4	9	20	31	19
14	Kristiansund BK	18	4	4	10	17	29	16
15	Aalesund	18	2	9	7	28	43	15
16	IK Start	18	3	4	11	20	39	13

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandefjord	Viking FK
Sarpsborg	2-1 W	2-1 W
Lillestrom	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Viking FK (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandefjord

LDLDLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
16/08	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
07/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
01/08	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
26/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
18/07	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
12/07	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
30/05	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
25/05	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
16/05	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	3	5	L

Viking FK

WWLWWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-1	14	5	W
14/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	6	0	L
08/08	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	11	5	W
01/08	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	3-0	3-0	5	5	W
26/07	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-1	10	7	D
22/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
12/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
24/05	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
16/05	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-3	6-3	12	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandefjord vs Viking FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viking FK win (44%). Probabilities: Sandefjord 31%, draw 25%, Viking FK 44%.

How many goals are expected in Sandefjord vs Viking FK?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Sandefjord 1.51 · Viking FK 1.8), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandefjord vs Viking FK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.