Prediction: Valerenga vs Aalesund
| Valerenga | Draw | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aalesund (rating 1460 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Valerenga: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valerenga | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valerenga 5–1–0 Aalesund
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/24 Norway Division 1 | Valerenga | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Aalesund |
| 11/05/24 Norway Division 1 | Aalesund | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Valerenga |
| 17/09/23 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Aalesund |
| 10/04/23 Norway Eliteserien | Aalesund | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Valerenga |
| 07/08/22 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Aalesund |
| 19/06/22 Norway Eliteserien | Aalesund | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Valerenga |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Molde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | SK Brann | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 16 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Aalesund | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 13 | Rosenborg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 14 | KFUM | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | IK Start | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valerenga | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Kristiansund BK | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Ham-Kam | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Molde | 1-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Aalesund (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerenga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Fredrikstad Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | GAIS Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | IFK Goteborg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
Aalesund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Kristiansund BK Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | SK Brann Norway Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerenga vs Aalesund?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valerenga win (55%). Probabilities: Valerenga 55%, draw 24%, Aalesund 21%.
How many goals are expected in Valerenga vs Aalesund?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Valerenga 1.96 · Aalesund 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Valerenga vs Aalesund?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.