Football · Norway Eliteserien · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt

Team pages: Valerenga · Bodo/Glimt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Valerenga1.68

Bodo/Glimt2.06

1X2

31% 23% 46%

Valerenga Draw Bodo/Glimt

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Valerenga 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWLWWL

Bodo/Glimt 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Valerenga 1–5 Bodo/Glimt (6 last)

Valerenga3-1Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt7-2Valerenga
Valerenga2-4Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt4-2Valerenga
Valerenga1-3Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga0-6Bodo/Glimt

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1508 vs 1620).
H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 5-0-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valerenga	Bodo/Glimt
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	3.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	90/10/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	2.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.99

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	6.52 → 6.52	Pinn 6.52
X	5.41 → 5.41	Pinn 5.41
2	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13	6.52	5.41	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Valerenga 1–0–5 Bodo/Glimt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Valerenga	3-1 HT 2-0	Bodo/Glimt
26/07/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	7-2 HT 2-1	Valerenga
28/09/23 Norway Cup	Valerenga	2-4 HT 1-1	Bodo/Glimt
24/09/23 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	4-2 HT 2-1	Valerenga
04/06/23 Norway Eliteserien	Valerenga	1-3 HT 0-1	Bodo/Glimt
16/10/22 Norway Eliteserien	Valerenga	0-6 HT 0-3	Bodo/Glimt

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	12	2	2	41	11	38
2	Viking FK	15	12	1	2	37	14	37
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	26	15	31
4	Lillestrom	15	8	1	6	22	18	25
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	25	19	23
6	Sarpsborg	14	6	3	5	15	16	21
7	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	23	26	21
8	Valerenga	15	6	2	7	22	27	20
9	SK Brann	15	6	1	8	30	25	19
10	Rosenborg	14	5	3	6	19	18	18
11	Fredrikstad	15	5	2	8	16	27	17
12	Sandefjord	15	4	3	8	13	21	15
13	Aalesund	14	2	7	5	19	29	13
14	KFUM	14	3	3	8	15	25	12
15	Kristiansund BK	14	3	3	8	12	23	12
16	IK Start	16	2	4	10	16	37	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valerenga	Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam	0-3 L	3-0 W
SK Brann	3-2 W	3-1 W
Tromso	0-4 L	5-0 W
Fredrikstad	3-1 W	1-0 W
IK Start	0-2 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Valerenga

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
26/07	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	3-0	3-2	6	5	W
16/07	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	3-0	6-1	8	0	W
11/07	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
04/07	Fredrikstad Europe Friendlies	3-1	3-1	5	5	W
27/06	GAIS Club Friendly List	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/06	IFK Goteborg Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
29/05	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
25/05	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	7	1	L
16/05	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	2-2	3-2	7	1	W

Bodo/Glimt

WWWDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
26/07	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
22/07	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
17/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	12	5	W
12/07	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
28/06	Molde Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-1	3	2	W
29/05	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
24/05	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
20/05	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	2-1	4-1	5	1	W
16/05	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-0	5-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bodo/Glimt win (46%). Probabilities: Valerenga 31%, draw 23%, Bodo/Glimt 46%.

How many goals are expected in Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Valerenga 1.68 · Bodo/Glimt 2.06), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.