Football · Norway Eliteserien · 09/08, 19:15

Prediction: Kristiansund BK vs Molde

Team pages: Kristiansund BK · Molde

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Kristiansund BK1.21

Molde1.88

1X2

23% 24% 52%

Kristiansund BK Draw Molde

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kristiansund BK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Molde 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLDLWD

Head-to-head

Kristiansund BK 3–1–2 Molde (6 last)

Molde1-0Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK2-1Molde
Molde2-2Kristiansund BK
Molde0-1Kristiansund BK
Molde0-4Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK0-4Molde

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristiansund BK 1433 · Molde 1484

	Kristiansund BK	Draw	Molde
Our model	23%	25%	52%
Market	24%	24%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Molde (rating 1433 vs 1484).
H2H favours Kristiansund BK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristiansund BK	Molde
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	3.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.80

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.81 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:35 +4’	3.90	3.80	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:39	4.81	3.71	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristiansund BK 3–1–2 Molde

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Norway Eliteserien	Molde	1-0 HT 1-0	Kristiansund BK
04/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	2-1 HT 0-1	Molde
21/05/25 Norway Cup	Molde	2-2 HT 2-0	Kristiansund BK
16/05/25 Norway Eliteserien	Molde	0-1 HT 0-1	Kristiansund BK
15/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Molde	0-4 HT 0-2	Kristiansund BK
18/09/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	0-4 HT 0-2	Molde

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	12	2	2	41	11	38
2	Viking FK	15	12	1	2	37	14	37
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	26	15	31
4	Lillestrom	15	8	1	6	22	18	25
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	25	19	23
6	Sarpsborg	14	6	3	5	15	16	21
7	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	23	26	21
8	Valerenga	15	6	2	7	22	27	20
9	SK Brann	15	6	1	8	30	25	19
10	Rosenborg	14	5	3	6	19	18	18
11	Fredrikstad	15	5	2	8	16	27	17
12	Sandefjord	15	4	3	8	13	21	15
13	Aalesund	14	2	7	5	19	29	13
14	KFUM	14	3	3	8	15	25	12
15	Kristiansund BK	14	3	3	8	12	23	12
16	IK Start	16	2	4	10	16	37	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristiansund BK	Molde
KFUM	1-2 L	4-2 W
Sarpsborg	0-0 D	3-3 D
Rosenborg	0-3 L	1-2 L
SK Brann	2-1 W	1-2 L
Aalesund	0-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Molde (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kristiansund BK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	3	1	L
25/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
18/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/07	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
03/07	SK Brann Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Aalesund Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
29/05	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
24/05	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
20/05	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	3	11	W
16/05	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	6	3	L

Molde

WLWWLLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	3-3	5	2	D
26/07	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-1	4-2	9	6	W
18/07	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
11/07	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
05/07	Rosenborg Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
28/06	Bodo/Glimt Europe Friendlies	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
21/06	KFUM Europe Friendlies	3-0	5-1	9	2	W
30/05	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
25/05	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	8	2	L
16/05	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristiansund BK vs Molde?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Molde win (52%). Probabilities: Kristiansund BK 23%, draw 24%, Molde 52%.

How many goals are expected in Kristiansund BK vs Molde?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Kristiansund BK 1.21 · Molde 1.88), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Molde?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.