Football · Norway Eliteserien · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: KFUM vs Lillestrom

Team pages: KFUM · Lillestrom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

KFUM1.71

Lillestrom1.48

1X2

42% 25% 32%

KFUM Draw Lillestrom

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KFUM 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Lillestrom 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KFUM 2–4 Lillestrom (6 last)

Lillestrom2-1KFUM
Lillestrom7-2KFUM
Lillestrom2-0KFUM
Lillestrom0-5KFUM
KFUM2-0Lillestrom
Lillestrom2-1KFUM

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lillestrom: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KFUM	Lillestrom
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.75▼	Pinn 2.75
X	3.47 → 3.65▲	Pinn 3.65
2	2.35 → 2.44▲	Pinn 2.44

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:27 +1’	2.90	3.47	2.35
17:53 +2’	2.75▼	3.65▲	2.44▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KFUM 2–0–4 Lillestrom

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	Lillestrom	2-1 HT 1-1	KFUM
07/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Lillestrom	7-2 HT 3-2	KFUM
25/06/25 Norway Cup	Lillestrom	2-0 HT 0-0	KFUM
28/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Lillestrom	0-5 HT 0-1	KFUM
30/08/24 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	2-0 HT 0-0	Lillestrom
27/06/24 Norway Eliteserien	Lillestrom	2-1 HT 1-0	KFUM

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	17	13	2	2	43	12	41
2	Viking FK	16	13	1	2	39	15	40
3	Tromso	16	10	4	2	32	17	34
4	Lillestrom	15	8	1	6	22	18	25
5	Molde	15	7	3	5	28	22	24
6	SK Brann	16	7	1	8	33	27	22
7	Sarpsborg	16	6	4	6	19	21	22
8	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	23	26	21
9	Valerenga	16	6	2	8	23	29	20
10	Fredrikstad	16	6	2	8	17	27	20
11	Rosenborg	15	5	3	7	21	21	18
12	KFUM	16	5	3	8	18	26	18
13	Sandefjord	16	4	3	9	13	22	15
14	Aalesund	15	2	7	6	21	35	13
15	Kristiansund BK	15	3	3	9	13	25	12
16	IK Start	17	2	4	11	16	38	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KFUM	Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK	2-1 W	1-2 L
Bodo/Glimt	0-2 L	0-4 L
Rosenborg	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: KFUM (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KFUM

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
02/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
26/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	3	6	L
18/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
12/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
04/07	Vendsyssel FF Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
21/06	Molde Europe Friendlies	0-3	1-5	2	2	L
29/05	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/05	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
16/05	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	0	5	L

Lillestrom

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	8	7	L
31/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
22/07	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
18/07	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
11/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
03/07	Sarpsborg Europe Friendlies	3-1	3-1	8	2	W
26/06	Degerfors Club Friendly List	2-1	2-3	5	1	L
20/06	Midtjylland Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
25/05	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
20/05	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	8	11	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KFUM vs Lillestrom?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KFUM win (42%). Probabilities: KFUM 42%, draw 25%, Lillestrom 32%.

How many goals are expected in KFUM vs Lillestrom?

The model expects 3.19 goals (KFUM 1.71 · Lillestrom 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KFUM vs Lillestrom?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.