Football · Norway Eliteserien · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Molde vs Tromso
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Molde1.66
Tromso1.76
1X2
Molde
Draw
Tromso
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Molde
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Tromso
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Molde
3–3
Tromso
(6 last)
- Tromso2-0Molde
- Molde2-0Tromso
- Tromso1-0Molde
- Molde5-3Tromso
- Tromso0-2Molde
- Molde1-4Tromso
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tromso (rating 1472 vs 1541).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Molde | Tromso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.1 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Molde 3–0–3 Tromso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Molde |
| 24/08/25 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tromso |
| 05/07/25 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Molde |
| 28/09/24 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 5-3 HT 2-0 | Tromso |
| 28/06/24 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Molde |
| 30/10/23 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Tromso |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 25 |
| 5 | Molde | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 24 |
| 6 | SK Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Ham-Kam | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 22 |
| 9 | Rosenborg | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 21 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 20 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 20 |
| 12 | KFUM | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 14 |
| 16 | IK Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Molde | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| KFUM | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Aalesund | 2-2 D | 6-2 W |
| Bodo/Glimt | 1-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Molde (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Molde
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Rosenborg Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Bodo/Glimt Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | KFUM Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Tromso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | CFR Cluj UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
3-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/07 | Hradec Kralove UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/07 | Hradec Kralove UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Molde vs Tromso?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tromso win (40%). Probabilities: Molde 36%, draw 24%, Tromso 40%.
How many goals are expected in Molde vs Tromso?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Molde 1.66 · Tromso 1.76), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Molde vs Tromso?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.