Football · Norway Eliteserien · 16/08, 19:15

Prediction: Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK

Team pages: Fredrikstad · Kristiansund BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Fredrikstad1.52

Kristiansund BK1

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Fredrikstad Draw Kristiansund BK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fredrikstad 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLLLWW

Kristiansund BK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Fredrikstad 3–1–2 Kristiansund BK (6 last)

Kristiansund BK2-0Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad3-1Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK0-1Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad1-1Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK3-1Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad4-1Kristiansund BK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fredrikstad: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fredrikstad	Kristiansund BK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.3	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.1	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.97

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.89 → 1.89	Pinn 1.89
X	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
2	3.97 → 3.97	Pinn 3.97

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:48 +1’	1.89	3.72	3.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fredrikstad 3–1–2 Kristiansund BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	2-0 HT 0-0	Fredrikstad
02/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Fredrikstad	3-1 HT 1-1	Kristiansund BK
11/05/25 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	0-1 HT 0-0	Fredrikstad
03/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	Fredrikstad	1-1 HT 1-0	Kristiansund BK
08/07/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	3-1 HT 2-1	Fredrikstad
20/08/23 Norway Division 1	Fredrikstad	4-1 HT 1-1	Kristiansund BK

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	17	13	2	2	43	12	41
2	Viking FK	16	13	1	2	39	15	40
3	Tromso	16	10	4	2	32	17	34
4	Lillestrom	16	8	1	7	22	20	25
5	Molde	16	7	3	6	29	24	24
6	SK Brann	16	7	1	8	33	27	22
7	Sarpsborg	16	6	4	6	19	21	22
8	Ham-Kam	16	6	4	6	24	27	22
9	Rosenborg	16	6	3	7	23	21	21
10	Valerenga	16	6	2	8	23	29	20
11	Fredrikstad	16	6	2	8	17	27	20
12	KFUM	16	5	3	8	18	26	18
13	Sandefjord	16	4	3	9	13	22	15
14	Kristiansund BK	16	4	3	9	15	26	15
15	Aalesund	16	2	8	6	22	36	14
16	IK Start	17	2	4	11	16	38	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fredrikstad	Kristiansund BK
IK Start	1-0 W	1-2 L
Rosenborg	0-4 L	0-3 L
Lillestrom	0-2 L	2-1 W
Valerenga	1-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kristiansund BK (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fredrikstad

DWDDLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	4	0	W
01/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
27/07	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
17/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	0	5	L
11/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
04/07	Valerenga Europe Friendlies	1-3	1-3	6	5	L
28/06	Elfsborg Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
20/06	Ham-Kam Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
29/05	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
25/05	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	5	5	D

Kristiansund BK

WLLLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
02/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	3	1	L
25/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
18/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/07	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
03/07	SK Brann Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Aalesund Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
29/05	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
24/05	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
20/05	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	3	11	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fredrikstad win (48%). Probabilities: Fredrikstad 48%, draw 28%, Kristiansund BK 24%.

How many goals are expected in Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Fredrikstad 1.52 · Kristiansund BK 1), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.