Football · Norway Eliteserien · 07/08, 19:00

Prediction: Sandefjord vs KFUM

Team pages: Sandefjord · KFUM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Sandefjord1.75

KFUM1.03

1X2

53% 26% 21%

Sandefjord Draw KFUM

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sandefjord 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLDLLL

KFUM 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Sandefjord 4–1–1 KFUM (6 last)

KFUM1-2Sandefjord
Sandefjord2-0KFUM
KFUM3-1Sandefjord
Sandefjord1-0KFUM
Sandefjord2-1KFUM
KFUM3-3Sandefjord

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sandefjord (rating 1469 vs 1416).
H2H favours Sandefjord: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandefjord	KFUM
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.84

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.13 → 2.14▲	Pinn 2.14
X	3.49 → 3.53▲	Pinn 3.53
2	3.32 → 3.35▲	Pinn 3.35

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:35	2.13	3.49	3.32
19:05	2.14▲	3.53▲	3.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 4–1–1 KFUM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	1-2 HT 1-2	Sandefjord
30/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	2-0 HT 2-0	KFUM
30/03/25 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	3-1 HT 1-1	Sandefjord
15/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Sandefjord	1-0 HT 0-0	KFUM
27/10/24 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	2-1 HT 0-1	KFUM
02/06/24 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	3-3 HT 0-0	Sandefjord

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	12	2	2	41	11	38
2	Viking FK	15	12	1	2	37	14	37
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	26	15	31
4	Lillestrom	15	8	1	6	22	18	25
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	25	19	23
6	Sarpsborg	14	6	3	5	15	16	21
7	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	23	26	21
8	Valerenga	15	6	2	7	22	27	20
9	SK Brann	15	6	1	8	30	25	19
10	Rosenborg	14	5	3	6	19	18	18
11	Fredrikstad	15	5	2	8	16	27	17
12	Sandefjord	15	4	3	8	13	21	15
13	Aalesund	14	2	7	5	19	29	13
14	KFUM	14	3	3	8	15	25	12
15	Kristiansund BK	14	3	3	8	12	23	12
16	IK Start	16	2	4	10	16	37	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandefjord	KFUM
Bodo/Glimt	0-3 L	0-2 L
Viking FK	1-2 L	0-2 L
Molde	1-2 L	2-4 L
Lillestrom	1-3 L	1-2 L
Kristiansund BK	2-0 W	2-1 W
Tromso	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sandefjord

LWWLDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
26/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
18/07	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
12/07	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
30/05	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
25/05	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
16/05	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
10/05	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
03/05	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
26/04	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-3	6	0	L

KFUM

LLWDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
26/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	3	6	L
18/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
12/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
04/07	Vendsyssel FF Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
21/06	Molde Europe Friendlies	0-3	1-5	2	2	L
29/05	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/05	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
16/05	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	0	5	L
10/05	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandefjord vs KFUM?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandefjord win (53%). Probabilities: Sandefjord 53%, draw 26%, KFUM 21%.

How many goals are expected in Sandefjord vs KFUM?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Sandefjord 1.75 · KFUM 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandefjord vs KFUM?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.