Football · Norway Eliteserien · 06/09, 17:00

Prediction: Molde vs KFUM

Team pages: Molde · KFUM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Molde2.23

KFUM1.44

1X2

55% 22% 24%

Molde Draw KFUM

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Molde 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWDLWW

KFUM 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLWWDL

Head-to-head

Molde 2–2–2 KFUM (6 last)

KFUM2-4Molde
Molde5-1KFUM
KFUM0-0Molde
Molde2-3KFUM
KFUM1-1Molde
Molde2-3KFUM

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Molde (rating 1532 vs 1468).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Molde	KFUM
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.9	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.1	2.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 19:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.38▲	Pinn 1.38
X	5.13 → 5.30▲	Pinn 5.30
2	7.10 → 7.31▲	Pinn 7.31

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:26 +1’	1.37	5.13	7.10
11:36 +2’	1.38▲	5.22▲	7.27▲
12:32	1.38▼	5.25▲	7.29▲
15:54	1.36▼	5.38▲	7.62▲
19:29 +3’	1.38▲	5.30▼	7.31▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Molde 2–2–2 KFUM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	2-4 HT 1-1	Molde
21/06/26 Club Friendly List	Molde	5-1 HT 3-0	KFUM
17/08/25 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	0-0 HT 0-0	Molde
29/06/25 Norway Eliteserien	Molde	2-3 HT 0-2	KFUM
23/09/24 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	1-1 HT 0-0	Molde
20/07/24 Norway Eliteserien	Molde	2-3 HT 1-2	KFUM

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	14	2	2	47	14	44
2	Viking FK	18	14	1	3	42	18	43
3	Tromso	18	10	5	3	34	20	35
4	Molde	18	9	3	6	36	29	30
5	SK Brann	18	8	2	8	36	27	26
6	Lillestrom	18	8	2	8	24	25	26
7	Fredrikstad	18	8	2	8	22	28	26
8	Rosenborg	18	7	3	8	27	26	24
9	Sarpsborg	18	6	5	7	20	23	23
10	Ham-Kam	18	6	5	7	26	32	23
11	Valerenga	18	6	3	9	31	38	21
12	Sandefjord	18	5	4	9	15	23	19
13	KFUM	18	5	4	9	20	31	19
14	Kristiansund BK	18	4	4	10	17	29	16
15	Aalesund	18	2	9	7	28	43	15
16	IK Start	18	3	4	11	20	39	13

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Molde	KFUM
Tromso	3-2 W	0-0 D
Kristiansund BK	1-2 L	2-1 W
SK Brann	1-2 L	1-2 L
Sandefjord	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Molde

WLWDLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	4-3	4-3	2	5	W
16/08	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-2	3	5	W
09/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	12	5	L
02/08	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	3-3	5	2	D
26/07	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-1	4-2	9	6	W
18/07	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
11/07	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
30/05	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
25/05	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	8	2	L
16/05	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

KFUM

LWDLLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-4	7	8	L
15/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
07/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
02/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
26/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	3	6	L
18/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
12/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
29/05	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/05	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
16/05	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Molde vs KFUM?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Molde win (55%). Probabilities: Molde 55%, draw 22%, KFUM 24%.

How many goals are expected in Molde vs KFUM?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Molde 2.23 · KFUM 1.44), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Molde vs KFUM?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.