Football · Norway Eliteserien · 04/09, 19:00
Prediction: Aalesund vs IK Start
Team pages: Aalesund · IK Start
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Aalesund2.28
IK Start1.54
1X2
Aalesund
Draw
IK Start
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Aalesund
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
IK Start
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aalesund
3–2–1
IK Start
(6 last)
- IK Start1-1Aalesund
- IK Start3-1Aalesund
- Aalesund1-1IK Start
- Aalesund3-1IK Start
- IK Start1-3Aalesund
- Aalesund3-2IK Start
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aalesund (rating 1518 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Aalesund: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aalesund | IK Start | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.7 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aalesund 3–2–1 IK Start
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Norway Eliteserien | IK Start | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Aalesund |
| 23/08/25 Norway Division 1 | IK Start | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Aalesund |
| 24/05/25 Norway Division 1 | Aalesund | 1-1 HT 0-1 | IK Start |
| 21/10/24 Norway Division 1 | Aalesund | 3-1 HT 2-0 | IK Start |
| 06/04/24 Norway Division 1 | IK Start | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Aalesund |
| 01/11/21 Norway Division 1 | Aalesund | 3-2 HT 0-1 | IK Start |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 14 | 44 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 18 | 43 |
| 3 | Tromso | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Molde | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 30 |
| 5 | SK Brann | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 26 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | Rosenborg | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 24 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 32 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 21 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 19 |
| 13 | KFUM | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 31 | 19 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 43 | 15 |
| 16 | IK Start | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 39 | 13 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aalesund | IK Start |
|---|---|---|
| Viking FK | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Valerenga | 5-5 D | 2-0 W |
| SK Brann | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aalesund (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aalesund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
4-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/07 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
IK Start
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
3-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aalesund vs IK Start?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aalesund win (54%). Probabilities: Aalesund 54%, draw 21%, IK Start 25%.
How many goals are expected in Aalesund vs IK Start?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Aalesund 2.28 · IK Start 1.54), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aalesund vs IK Start?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.