Football · Norway Eliteserien · 04/09, 19:00

Prediction: Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt

Team pages: Fredrikstad · Bodo/Glimt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Fredrikstad1.43

Bodo/Glimt1.88

1X2

28% 24% 47%

Fredrikstad Draw Bodo/Glimt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Fredrikstad 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLWWWW

Bodo/Glimt 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Fredrikstad 0–1–5 Bodo/Glimt (6 last)

Bodo/Glimt1-0Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt5-0Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad0-1Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt2-2Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad0-2Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt4-0Fredrikstad

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1536 vs 1659).
H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fredrikstad	Bodo/Glimt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	2.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	3.6 / 7.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.86

Under 3.251.97

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	7.57 → 7.77▲	Pinn 7.77
X	5.67 → 5.77▲	Pinn 5.77
2	1.32 → 1.33▲	Pinn 1.33

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:15 +1’	7.57	5.67	1.32
12:16	7.77▲	5.77▲	1.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fredrikstad 0–1–5 Bodo/Glimt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	1-0 HT 1-0	Fredrikstad
30/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	5-0 HT 3-0	Fredrikstad
16/07/25 Norway Eliteserien	Fredrikstad	0-1 HT 0-0	Bodo/Glimt
10/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	2-2 HT 0-1	Fredrikstad
01/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Fredrikstad	0-2 HT 0-0	Bodo/Glimt
16/08/17 Norway Division 1	Bodo/Glimt	4-0 HT 2-0	Fredrikstad

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	14	2	2	47	14	44
2	Viking FK	18	14	1	3	42	18	43
3	Tromso	18	10	5	3	34	20	35
4	Molde	18	9	3	6	36	29	30
5	SK Brann	18	8	2	8	36	27	26
6	Lillestrom	18	8	2	8	24	25	26
7	Fredrikstad	18	8	2	8	22	28	26
8	Rosenborg	18	7	3	8	27	26	24
9	Sarpsborg	18	6	5	7	20	23	23
10	Ham-Kam	18	6	5	7	26	32	23
11	Valerenga	18	6	3	9	31	38	21
12	Sandefjord	18	5	4	9	15	23	19
13	KFUM	18	5	4	9	20	31	19
14	Kristiansund BK	18	4	4	10	17	29	16
15	Aalesund	18	2	9	7	28	43	15
16	IK Start	18	3	4	11	20	39	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fredrikstad	Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom	4-1 W	4-0 W
IK Start	1-0 W	4-1 W
Sandefjord	1-0 W	3-0 W
Rosenborg	0-4 L	4-2 W
Ham-Kam	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fredrikstad

WDWLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-1	4-1	3	3	W
16/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/08	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	4	0	W
01/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
27/07	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
17/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	0	5	L
11/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
29/05	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
25/05	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
16/05	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	5	3	W

Bodo/Glimt

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	4-2	12	2	W
08/08	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
31/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
26/07	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
22/07	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
17/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	12	5	W
12/07	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
29/05	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
24/05	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
20/05	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	2-1	4-1	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bodo/Glimt win (47%). Probabilities: Fredrikstad 28%, draw 24%, Bodo/Glimt 47%.

How many goals are expected in Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Fredrikstad 1.43 · Bodo/Glimt 1.88), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.