Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 13/09, 13:00

Prediction: Djurgardens (W) vs Kristianstads (W)

Team pages: Djurgardens (W) · Kristianstads (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

Djurgardens (W)1.88

Kristianstads (W)1.9

1X2

38% 24% 39%

Djurgardens (W) Draw Kristianstads (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Djurgardens (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWWDWL

Kristianstads (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLWDWL

Head-to-head

Djurgardens (W) 2–1–3 Kristianstads (W) (6 last)

Kristianstads (W)4-1Djurgardens (W)
Kristianstads (W)2-4Djurgardens (W)
Djurgardens (W)2-1Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)3-1Djurgardens (W)
Djurgardens (W)1-2Kristianstads (W)
Djurgardens (W)1-1Kristianstads (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Djurgardens (W) 1501 · Kristianstads (W) 1536

	Djurgardens (W)	Draw	Kristianstads (W)
Our model	38%	23%	39%
Market	37%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kristianstads (W): 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Djurgardens (W)	Kristianstads (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.1	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.70

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.38▼	Pinn 2.52
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.35 → 2.38▲	Pinn 2.58 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:47 +24’	2.40	3.70	2.35
12:37 +7’	2.38▼	3.70	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:41 +199’	2.53	3.30	2.55
00:42 +176’	2.51▼	3.30	2.57▲
07:02 +64’	2.52▲	3.25▼	2.58▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgardens (W) 2–1–3 Kristianstads (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	4-1 HT 2-1	Djurgardens (W)
01/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	2-4 HT 0-4	Djurgardens (W)
23/03/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Kristianstads (W)
02/11/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	3-1 HT 0-0	Djurgardens (W)
16/06/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Kristianstads (W)
04/09/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Kristianstads (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	17	15	1	1	48	13	46
2	Hammarby (W)	17	14	2	1	42	8	44
3	Malmo FF (W)	17	8	6	3	34	11	30
4	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	17	8	3	6	18	18	27
5	Vittsjö GIK (W)	17	7	4	6	22	19	25
6	Kristianstads (W)	17	7	4	6	28	27	25
7	AIK (W)	17	7	4	6	23	26	25
8	Pitea IF (W)	17	6	4	7	21	25	22
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	17	6	2	9	22	33	20
10	Djurgardens (W)	17	5	3	9	21	27	18
11	Vaxjo (W)	17	5	2	10	21	32	17
12	FC Rosengård (W)	17	3	5	9	18	23	14
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	17	2	7	8	15	26	13
14	IK Uppsala (W)	17	1	3	13	13	58	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Djurgardens (W)	Kristianstads (W)
FC Rosengård (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
Brommapojkarna (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
IK Uppsala (W)	8-0 W	3-2 W
Malmo FF (W)	0-1 L	0-6 L
AIK (W)	0-3 L	1-0 W
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgardens (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djurgardens (W)

DLLLLWWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
30/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
22/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
14/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-2	4	2	W
08/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	8-0	18	0	W
01/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
24/06	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
17/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
13/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
30/05	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	0	D

Kristianstads (W)

LDWLWLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
29/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
22/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
16/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	4	0	W
08/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
01/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
27/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-6	6	1	L
18/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-2	8	0	W
12/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
31/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djurgardens (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kristianstads (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Djurgardens (W) 38%, draw 24%, Kristianstads (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Djurgardens (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

The model expects 3.77 goals (Djurgardens (W) 1.88 · Kristianstads (W) 1.9), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Djurgardens (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.