Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: Brommapojkarna (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)

Team pages: Brommapojkarna (W) · IFK Norrkoping (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Brommapojkarna (W)1.43

IFK Norrkoping (W)1.3

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Brommapojkarna (W) Draw IFK Norrkoping (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLDDW

IFK Norrkoping (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDDLWLDLL

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna (W) 0–2–4 IFK Norrkoping (W) (6 last)

IFK Norrkoping (W)3-0Brommapojkarna (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)1-0Brommapojkarna (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)3-3Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)1-2IFK Norrkoping (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)0-1IFK Norrkoping (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)0-0Brommapojkarna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna (W) 1497 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1466

	Brommapojkarna (W)	Draw	IFK Norrkoping (W)
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IFK Norrkoping (W): 4-2-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna (W)	IFK Norrkoping (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	2.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.27
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.77 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:55 +8’	2.25	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:47 +16’	2.27	3.44	2.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna (W) 0–2–4 IFK Norrkoping (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
22/02/26 Sweden Cup Women	IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
07/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	3-3 HT 1-1	Brommapojkarna (W)
08/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	IFK Norrkoping (W)
06/10/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	IFK Norrkoping (W)
24/06/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	16	15	0	1	47	12	45
2	Hammarby (W)	17	14	2	1	42	8	44
3	Malmo FF (W)	16	8	5	3	33	10	29
4	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	17	8	3	6	18	18	27
5	Vittsjö GIK (W)	17	7	4	6	22	19	25
6	Kristianstads (W)	17	7	4	6	28	27	25
7	AIK (W)	17	7	4	6	23	26	25
8	Pitea IF (W)	17	6	4	7	21	25	22
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	17	6	2	9	22	33	20
10	Djurgardens (W)	17	5	3	9	21	27	18
11	Vaxjo (W)	17	5	2	10	21	32	17
12	FC Rosengård (W)	17	3	5	9	18	23	14
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	17	2	7	8	15	26	13
14	IK Uppsala (W)	17	1	3	13	13	58	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna (W)	IFK Norrkoping (W)
Kristianstads (W)	2-0 W	0-5 L
Pitea IF (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Djurgardens (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Vaxjo (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Rosengård (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brommapojkarna (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna (W)

WWLLWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
22/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
15/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	0	1	L
07/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
24/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
18/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	8	3	L
13/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	6	1	W
31/05	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-1	5	2	W

IFK Norrkoping (W)

LDDDLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
30/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
23/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	0	D
16/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
25/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-4	3	1	L
24/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
18/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
13/06	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
30/05	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-2	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brommapojkarna (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna (W) 39%, draw 27%, IFK Norrkoping (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Brommapojkarna (W) 1.43 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1.3), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.