Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: Shelbourne (W) vs Peamount Utd (W)

Team pages: Shelbourne (W) · Peamount Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Shelbourne (W)2.67

Peamount Utd (W)1.25

1X2

66% 19% 14%

Shelbourne (W) Draw Peamount Utd (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Shelbourne (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWDWW

Peamount Utd (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLWLW

Head-to-head

Shelbourne (W) 5–1 Peamount Utd (W) (6 last)

Peamount Utd (W)2-4Shelbourne (W)
Peamount Utd (W)1-4Shelbourne (W)
Shelbourne (W)1-0Peamount Utd (W)
Shelbourne (W)3-0Peamount Utd (W)
Peamount Utd (W)0-2Shelbourne (W)
Shelbourne (W)0-1Peamount Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shelbourne (W) 1606 · Peamount Utd (W) 1483

	Shelbourne (W)	Draw	Peamount Utd (W)
Our model	67%	18%	15%
Market	66%	21%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1606 vs 1483).
H2H favours Shelbourne (W): 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shelbourne (W)	Peamount Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 0.7	1.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.7	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.33

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +18’	1.36	4.33	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shelbourne (W) 5–0–1 Peamount Utd (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	2-4 HT 2-2	Shelbourne (W)
19/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	1-4 HT 1-1	Shelbourne (W)
29/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Peamount Utd (W)
05/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Peamount Utd (W)
16/03/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Shelbourne (W)
27/05/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Peamount Utd (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	12	9	2	1	27	9	29
2	Galway (W)	12	8	3	1	20	9	27
3	Shelbourne (W)	13	7	5	1	26	12	26
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	13	6	4	3	25	15	22
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	13	6	4	3	24	19	22
6	FC Treaty United (W)	13	5	4	4	14	9	19
7	Wexford FC (W)	12	4	5	3	21	15	17
8	Peamount Utd (W)	12	4	2	6	19	27	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	13	2	4	7	13	23	10
10	DLR Waves (W)	13	2	2	9	7	20	8
11	Waterford FC (W)	13	1	5	7	9	25	8
12	Cork City (W)	13	1	2	10	9	31	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shelbourne (W)	Peamount Utd (W)
Cork City (W)	3-0 W	0-6 L
FC Treaty United (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Galway (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Waterford FC (W)	3-0 W	5-3 W
Athlone Town (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shelbourne (W)

WWDWDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	19	0	W
01/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
18/07	Galway (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
11/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	5	1	W
08/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
27/06	Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
20/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
13/06	Cliftonville (W) Women’s Friendly	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
30/05	Glentoran (W) Women’s Friendly	3-1	6-1	7	2	W

Peamount Utd (W)

LLWWLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-1	5-3	4	1	W
11/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
08/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
27/06	Galway (W) Women’s Friendly	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-6	6	2	L
13/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
30/05	Lisburn Rangers (W) Women’s Friendly	4-0	6-1	8	3	W
23/05	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	2-4	5	2	L
16/05	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	2-5	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shelbourne (W) vs Peamount Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shelbourne (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Shelbourne (W) 66%, draw 19%, Peamount Utd (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Shelbourne (W) vs Peamount Utd (W)?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Shelbourne (W) 2.67 · Peamount Utd (W) 1.25), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Shelbourne (W) vs Peamount Utd (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.