Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Bohemians Dublin (W) vs Shelbourne (W)

Team pages: Bohemians Dublin (W) · Shelbourne (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Bohemians Dublin (W)0.84

Shelbourne (W)1.93

1X2

15% 23% 62%

Bohemians Dublin (W) Draw Shelbourne (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Bohemians Dublin (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLLLWD

Shelbourne (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Bohemians Dublin (W) 1–1–4 Shelbourne (W) (6 last)

Bohemians Dublin (W)1-4Shelbourne (W)
Shelbourne (W)4-0Bohemians Dublin (W)
Shelbourne (W)2-1Bohemians Dublin (W)
Shelbourne (W)1-0Bohemians Dublin (W)
Bohemians Dublin (W)2-2Shelbourne (W)
Shelbourne (W)1-3Bohemians Dublin (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bohemians Dublin (W) 1441 · Shelbourne (W) 1613

	Bohemians Dublin (W)	Draw	Shelbourne (W)
Our model	15%	23%	62%
Market	15%	22%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1441 vs 1613).
H2H favours Shelbourne (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bohemians Dublin (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	2.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	3.3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	1.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.10

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.82

2 (-1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:42 +3’	5.75	4.10	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bohemians Dublin (W) 1–1–4 Shelbourne (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Bohemians Dublin (W)	1-4 HT 0-1	Shelbourne (W)
27/06/26 Women’s Friendly	Shelbourne (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Bohemians Dublin (W)
09/05/26 Women’s Friendly	Shelbourne (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Bohemians Dublin (W)
19/04/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Bohemians Dublin (W)
26/07/25 Women’s Friendly	Bohemians Dublin (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Shelbourne (W)
12/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	Bohemians Dublin (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	13	10	2	1	30	9	32
2	Shelbourne (W)	14	8	5	1	28	12	29
3	Galway (W)	13	8	4	1	21	10	28
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	14	7	4	3	27	15	25
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	14	6	5	3	25	20	23
6	FC Treaty United (W)	14	6	4	4	19	9	22
7	Wexford FC (W)	13	4	5	4	21	18	17
8	Peamount Utd (W)	13	4	2	7	19	29	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	14	2	5	7	15	25	11
10	Waterford FC (W)	14	1	6	7	11	27	9
11	DLR Waves (W)	14	2	2	10	7	22	8
12	Cork City (W)	14	1	2	11	9	36	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bohemians Dublin (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Waterford FC (W)	2-2 D	3-0 W
Galway (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Sligo Rovers (W)	2-3 L	2-2 D
Athlone Town (W)	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bohemians Dublin (W)

DWDLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-2	5	5	D
04/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
01/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
25/07	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	2-3	5	3	L
18/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
11/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
27/06	Shelbourne (W) Women’s Friendly	0-1	0-4	0	2	L
20/06	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
30/05	Waterford FC (W) Women’s Friendly	4-0	5-0	8	2	W
23/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	14	5	D

Shelbourne (W)

WDWDWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	5	0	W
05/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	19	0	W
01/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
18/07	Galway (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
11/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	5	1	W
08/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
27/06	Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
20/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
13/06	Cliftonville (W) Women’s Friendly	2-0	3-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bohemians Dublin (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shelbourne (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Bohemians Dublin (W) 15%, draw 23%, Shelbourne (W) 62%.

How many goals are expected in Bohemians Dublin (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Bohemians Dublin (W) 0.84 · Shelbourne (W) 1.93), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bohemians Dublin (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.