Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Waterford FC (W) vs Galway (W)

Team pages: Waterford FC (W) · Galway (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Waterford FC (W)0.63

Galway (W)2.2

1X2

9% 18% 73%

Waterford FC (W) Draw Galway (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Waterford FC (W) 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

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Galway (W) 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Waterford FC (W) 0–1–2 Galway (W) (3 last)

Galway (W)1-1Waterford FC (W)
Galway (W)3-0Waterford FC (W)
Waterford FC (W)0-7Galway (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Waterford FC (W) 1421 · Galway (W) 1531

	Waterford FC (W)	Draw	Galway (W)
Our model	8%	19%	72%
Market	9%	17%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Galway (W) (rating 1421 vs 1531).
H2H favours Galway (W): 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Waterford FC (W)	Galway (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.2	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.2	2.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

19.50

X5.25

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.95

2 (-1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:39 +6’	9.50	5.25	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterford FC (W) 0–1–2 Galway (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Waterford FC (W)
04/10/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Waterford FC (W)
21/06/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Waterford FC (W)	0-7 HT 0-2	Galway (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	13	10	2	1	30	9	32
2	Shelbourne (W)	14	8	5	1	28	12	29
3	Galway (W)	13	8	4	1	21	10	28
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	14	7	4	3	27	15	25
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	14	6	5	3	25	20	23
6	FC Treaty United (W)	14	6	4	4	19	9	22
7	Wexford FC (W)	13	4	5	4	21	18	17
8	Peamount Utd (W)	13	4	2	7	19	29	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	14	2	5	7	15	25	11
10	Waterford FC (W)	14	1	6	7	11	27	9
11	DLR Waves (W)	14	2	2	10	7	22	8
12	Cork City (W)	14	1	2	11	9	36	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Waterford FC (W)	Galway (W)
Bohemians Dublin (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-1 D	3-3 D
Peamount Utd (W)	3-5 L	1-1 D
Shelbourne (W)	0-3 L	0-2 L
Sligo Rovers (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Galway (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Waterford FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
25/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
18/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-4	3-5	0	1	L
11/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-3	4	1	L
27/06	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	13	1	D
20/06	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
30/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly	0-4	0-5	2	2	L
26/05	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
23/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
16/05	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	1-2	1	2	L

Galway (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
04/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
01/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
18/07	Shelbourne (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
12/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-1	3-3	3	2	D
27/06	Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
13/06	Linfield (W) Women’s Friendly	0-1	3-2	7	4	W
30/05	DLR Waves (W) Women’s Friendly	1-0	2-0	10	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Waterford FC (W) vs Galway (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Galway (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Waterford FC (W) 9%, draw 18%, Galway (W) 73%.

How many goals are expected in Waterford FC (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Waterford FC (W) 0.63 · Galway (W) 2.2), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Waterford FC (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.