Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Peamount Utd (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)

Team pages: Peamount Utd (W) · Shamrock Rovers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Peamount Utd (W)1.29

Shamrock Rovers (W)1.78

1X2

27% 25% 48%

Peamount Utd (W) Draw Shamrock Rovers (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Peamount Utd (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLWLWL

Shamrock Rovers (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDWDDW

Head-to-head

Peamount Utd (W) 4–1–1 Shamrock Rovers (W) (6 last)

Shamrock Rovers (W)0-1Peamount Utd (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)0-2Peamount Utd (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)0-1Peamount Utd (W)
Peamount Utd (W)1-1Shamrock Rovers (W)
Peamount Utd (W)0-1Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)0-2Peamount Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peamount Utd (W) 1494 · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1510

	Peamount Utd (W)	Draw	Shamrock Rovers (W)
Our model	27%	25%	48%
Market	27%	25%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Peamount Utd (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peamount Utd (W)	Shamrock Rovers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
X	3.70 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.68
2	1.70 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.94 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:18 +8’	3.90	3.70	1.70
08:00 +3’	3.30▼	3.60▼	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:02 +2’	2.95	3.68	1.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Peamount Utd (W) 4–1–1 Shamrock Rovers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Women’s Friendly	Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Peamount Utd (W)
21/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Peamount Utd (W)
30/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Peamount Utd (W)
12/04/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Shamrock Rovers (W)
31/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)
04/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Peamount Utd (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	13	10	2	1	30	9	32
2	Shelbourne (W)	14	8	5	1	28	12	29
3	Galway (W)	13	8	4	1	21	10	28
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	14	7	4	3	27	15	25
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	14	6	5	3	25	20	23
6	FC Treaty United (W)	14	6	4	4	19	9	22
7	Wexford FC (W)	13	4	5	4	21	18	17
8	Peamount Utd (W)	13	4	2	7	19	29	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	14	2	5	7	15	25	11
10	Waterford FC (W)	14	1	6	7	11	27	9
11	DLR Waves (W)	14	2	2	10	7	22	8
12	Cork City (W)	14	1	2	11	9	36	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Peamount Utd (W)	Shamrock Rovers (W)
Waterford FC (W)	5-3 W	1-1 D
FC Treaty United (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
DLR Waves (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Athlone Town (W)	0-2 L	3-3 D
Galway (W)	1-1 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shamrock Rovers (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Peamount Utd (W)

LWWLDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
18/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-1	5-3	4	1	W
11/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
08/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
27/06	Galway (W) Women’s Friendly	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-6	6	2	L
13/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
30/05	Lisburn Rangers (W) Women’s Friendly	4-0	6-1	8	3	W
23/05	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	2-4	5	2	L

Shamrock Rovers (W)

WLLLWDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
01/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-1	3-3	0	2	D
25/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
12/07	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	3-3	2	2	D
04/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	2-4	7	3	L
20/06	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
13/06	Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peamount Utd (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shamrock Rovers (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Peamount Utd (W) 27%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers (W) 48%.

How many goals are expected in Peamount Utd (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Peamount Utd (W) 1.29 · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1.78), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Peamount Utd (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.