Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 15/08, 19:00

Prediction: Athlone Town (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)

Team pages: Athlone Town (W) · Sligo Rovers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Athlone Town (W)2.08

Sligo Rovers (W)1.04

1X2

60% 23% 17%

Athlone Town (W) Draw Sligo Rovers (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Athlone Town (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Sligo Rovers (W) 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Athlone Town (W) 5–1–0 Sligo Rovers (W) (6 last)

Sligo Rovers (W)1-1Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)4-0Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)0-4Athlone Town (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)0-1Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)5-1Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)0-2Athlone Town (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Athlone Town (W) 1585 · Sligo Rovers (W) 1536

	Athlone Town (W)	Draw	Sligo Rovers (W)
Our model	60%	22%	17%
Market	60%	23%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1585 vs 1536).
H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athlone Town (W)	Sligo Rovers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.48

X3.90

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.43
2	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 6.78 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:42 +5’	1.48	3.90	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:15 +1’	1.33	4.43	6.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town (W) 5–1–0 Sligo Rovers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Athlone Town (W)
11/10/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	4-0 HT 4-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
17/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
22/09/24 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
10/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	5-1 HT 2-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
25/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	13	10	2	1	30	9	32
2	Shelbourne (W)	14	8	5	1	28	12	29
3	Galway (W)	13	8	4	1	21	10	28
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	14	7	4	3	27	15	25
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	14	6	5	3	25	20	23
6	FC Treaty United (W)	14	6	4	4	19	9	22
7	Wexford FC (W)	13	4	5	4	21	18	17
8	Peamount Utd (W)	13	4	2	7	19	29	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	14	2	5	7	15	25	11
10	Waterford FC (W)	14	1	6	7	11	27	9
11	DLR Waves (W)	14	2	2	10	7	22	8
12	Cork City (W)	14	1	2	11	9	36	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athlone Town (W)	Sligo Rovers (W)
Wexford FC (W)	3-0 W	1-0 W
Bohemians Dublin (W)	3-0 W	3-2 W
Cork City (W)	3-0 W	4-0 W
Shelbourne (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Galway (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Athlone Town (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
01/08	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	1-0	3-3	6	2	D
25/07	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	0-1	1-3	0	5	L
22/07	ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	2-0	4-0	9	3	W
18/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
11/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
08/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
04/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
20/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L

Sligo Rovers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
01/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-2	2	3	W
18/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
20/06	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
30/05	Linfield (W) Women’s Friendly	0-2	0-5	3	7	L
23/05	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
16/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-1	2-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athlone Town (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athlone Town (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Athlone Town (W) 60%, draw 23%, Sligo Rovers (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in Athlone Town (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Athlone Town (W) 2.08 · Sligo Rovers (W) 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Athlone Town (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.