Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 15/08, 19:00

Prediction: Wexford FC (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)

Team pages: FC Treaty United (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Wexford FC (W)1.07

FC Treaty United (W)1.39

1X2

29% 27% 44%

Wexford FC (W) Draw FC Treaty United (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wexford FC (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWLLWL

FC Treaty United (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWDWLDW

Head-to-head

Wexford FC (W) 4–1–1 FC Treaty United (W) (6 last)

FC Treaty United (W)1-1Wexford FC (W)
Wexford FC (W)0-1FC Treaty United (W)
FC Treaty United (W)1-4Wexford FC (W)
FC Treaty United (W)1-2Wexford FC (W)
Wexford FC (W)2-1FC Treaty United (W)
Wexford FC (W)4-0FC Treaty United (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wexford FC (W) 1482 · FC Treaty United (W) 1545

	Wexford FC (W)	Draw	FC Treaty United (W)
Our model	28%	29%	43%
Market	30%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Treaty United (W) (rating 1482 vs 1545).
H2H favours Wexford FC (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wexford FC (W)	FC Treaty United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.4 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	2.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	2.38 → 2.00▼	Pinn 2.15 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:21 +26’	2.45	3.40	2.38
08:12 +3’	3.00▲	3.50▲	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:15 +1’	2.73	3.41	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wexford FC (W) 4–1–1 FC Treaty United (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Wexford FC (W)
23/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Treaty United (W)
14/06/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-4 HT 1-2	Wexford FC (W)
27/07/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Wexford FC (W)
25/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Treaty United (W)
09/09/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	FC Treaty United (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	13	10	2	1	30	9	32
2	Shelbourne (W)	14	8	5	1	28	12	29
3	Galway (W)	13	8	4	1	21	10	28
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	14	7	4	3	27	15	25
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	14	6	5	3	25	20	23
6	FC Treaty United (W)	14	6	4	4	19	9	22
7	Wexford FC (W)	13	4	5	4	21	18	17
8	Peamount Utd (W)	13	4	2	7	19	29	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	14	2	5	7	15	25	11
10	Waterford FC (W)	14	1	6	7	11	27	9
11	DLR Waves (W)	14	2	2	10	7	22	8
12	Cork City (W)	14	1	2	11	9	36	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wexford FC (W)	FC Treaty United (W)
Athlone Town (W)	0-3 L	0-1 L
Cork City (W)	3-1 W	5-0 W
Sligo Rovers (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Bohemians Dublin (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Peamount Utd (W)	5-2 W	2-0 W
DLR Waves (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Treaty United (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wexford FC (W)

LDWDDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
25/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
11/07	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
04/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
27/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-1	4-2	3	3	W
20/06	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
23/05	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/05	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	5-2	9	1	W
02/05	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
25/04	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	10	1	L

FC Treaty United (W)

WDLDWDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	5-0	11	1	W
25/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
11/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
27/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	9	2	D
20/06	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	11	0	W
23/05	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/05	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/05	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
25/04	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wexford FC (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Treaty United (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Wexford FC (W) 29%, draw 27%, FC Treaty United (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Wexford FC (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Wexford FC (W) 1.07 · FC Treaty United (W) 1.39), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wexford FC (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.