Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 08/08, 18:00

Prediction: Sligo Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)

Team pages: Sligo Rovers (W) · Galway (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Sligo Rovers (W)0.94

Galway (W)1.84

1X2

18% 23% 58%

Sligo Rovers (W) Draw Galway (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sligo Rovers (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDWWWD

Galway (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDDDLWDL

Head-to-head

Sligo Rovers (W) 0–1–5 Galway (W) (6 last)

Galway (W)0-0Sligo Rovers (W)
Galway (W)2-1Sligo Rovers (W)
Galway (W)4-2Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)1-3Galway (W)
Galway (W)2-1Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)2-3Galway (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sligo Rovers (W) 1534 · Galway (W) 1530

	Sligo Rovers (W)	Draw	Galway (W)
Our model	18%	25%	57%
Market	19%	22%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Galway (W): 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sligo Rovers (W)	Galway (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	2.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.00

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:40 +26’	4.75	4.00	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sligo Rovers (W) 0–1–5 Galway (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Galway (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
21/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Sligo Rovers (W)
12/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	4-2 HT 0-2	Sligo Rovers (W)
19/04/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Galway (W)
31/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Sligo Rovers (W)
30/03/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	2-3 HT 0-1	Galway (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	12	9	2	1	27	9	29
2	Galway (W)	12	8	3	1	20	9	27
3	Shelbourne (W)	13	7	5	1	26	12	26
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	13	6	4	3	25	15	22
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	13	6	4	3	24	19	22
6	FC Treaty United (W)	13	5	4	4	14	9	19
7	Wexford FC (W)	12	4	5	3	21	15	17
8	Peamount Utd (W)	12	4	2	6	19	27	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	13	2	4	7	13	23	10
10	DLR Waves (W)	13	2	2	9	7	20	8
11	Waterford FC (W)	13	1	5	7	9	25	8
12	Cork City (W)	13	1	2	10	9	31	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sligo Rovers (W)	Galway (W)
Bohemians Dublin (W)	3-2 W	0-1 L
DLR Waves (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
Shelbourne (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
Linfield (W)	0-5 L	3-2 W
Waterford FC (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-3 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sligo Rovers (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sligo Rovers (W)

LWWLDDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-2	2	3	W
18/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
20/06	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
30/05	Linfield (W) Women’s Friendly	0-2	0-5	3	7	L
23/05	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
16/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
09/05	Shamrock Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly	1-2	1-3	6	1	L

Galway (W)

WWWDDDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
01/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
18/07	Shelbourne (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
12/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-1	3-3	3	2	D
27/06	Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
13/06	Linfield (W) Women’s Friendly	0-1	3-2	7	4	W
30/05	DLR Waves (W) Women’s Friendly	1-0	2-0	10	2	W
23/05	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Galway (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Sligo Rovers (W) 18%, draw 23%, Galway (W) 58%.

How many goals are expected in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Sligo Rovers (W) 0.94 · Galway (W) 1.84), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.