Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: FC Treaty United (W) vs Cork City (W)
Team pages: FC Treaty United (W) · Cork City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
FC Treaty United (W)2.08
Cork City (W)0.46
1X2
FC Treaty United (W)
Draw
Cork City (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Treaty United (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Cork City (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Treaty United (W)
5–1
Cork City (W)
(6 last)
- Cork City (W)0-2FC Treaty United (W)
- Cork City (W)1-3FC Treaty United (W)
- FC Treaty United (W)3-2Cork City (W)
- FC Treaty United (W)3-0Cork City (W)
- Cork City (W)0-3FC Treaty United (W)
- Cork City (W)1-0FC Treaty United (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Treaty United (W) 1522 · Cork City (W) 1460
| FC Treaty United (W) | Draw | Cork City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 19% | 6% |
| Market | 76% | 16% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Treaty United (W) (rating 1522 vs 1460).
- H2H favours FC Treaty United (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Treaty United (W) | Cork City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 0.9 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Treaty United (W) 5–0–1 Cork City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 19/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 29/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 31/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 04/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 14/10/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Treaty United (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Galway (W) | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Shelbourne (W) | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Treaty United (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Wexford FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 17 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 14 |
| 9 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 10 | DLR Waves (W) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 8 |
| 11 | Waterford FC (W) | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 8 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Treaty United (W) | Cork City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Peamount Utd (W) | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Sligo Rovers (W) | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| DLR Waves (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Wexford FC (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Athlone Town (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Treaty United (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Treaty United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Cork City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Douglas Hall (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Treaty United (W) vs Cork City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Treaty United (W) win (76%). Probabilities: FC Treaty United (W) 76%, draw 18%, Cork City (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in FC Treaty United (W) vs Cork City (W)?
The model expects 2.54 goals (FC Treaty United (W) 2.08 · Cork City (W) 0.46), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Treaty United (W) vs Cork City (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.