Prediction: Coritiba vs Chapecoense
Team pages: Coritiba · Chapecoense
- Chapecoense3-3Coritiba
- Coritiba0-0Chapecoense
- Chapecoense1-2Coritiba
- Chapecoense2-1Coritiba
- Coritiba1-0Chapecoense
- Chapecoense2-1Coritiba
| Coritiba | Draw | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coritiba | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.5 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coritiba 2–2–2 Chapecoense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Brazil Serie A | Chapecoense | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Coritiba |
| 09/08/25 Brazil Serie B | Coritiba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chapecoense |
| 12/04/25 Brazil Serie B | Chapecoense | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Coritiba |
| 17/11/24 Brazil Serie B | Chapecoense | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Coritiba |
| 27/07/24 Brazil Serie B | Coritiba | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chapecoense |
| 03/12/17 Brazil Serie A | Chapecoense | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Coritiba |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 47 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 34 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 29 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 29 |
| 10 | Atletico Mineiro | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 22 |
| 17 | Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 21 |
| 19 | Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coritiba | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Palmeiras | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Flamengo | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| EC Bahia | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Santos | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Gremio | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Coritiba (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coritiba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Santos Copa do Brasil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Chapecoense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 23/07 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Gremio America Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coritiba vs Chapecoense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coritiba win (60%). Probabilities: Coritiba 60%, draw 24%, Chapecoense 15%.
How many goals are expected in Coritiba vs Chapecoense?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Coritiba 1.86 · Chapecoense 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coritiba vs Chapecoense?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.