Prediction: Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
Team pages: Cruzeiro · Flamengo
- Cruzeiro1-1Flamengo
- Flamengo2-0Cruzeiro
- Flamengo0-0Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro2-1Flamengo
- Cruzeiro0-1Flamengo
- Flamengo2-1Cruzeiro
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 32% | 37% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flamengo (rating 1522 vs 1612).
- H2H favours Flamengo: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cruzeiro | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 2.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruzeiro 1–2–3 Flamengo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 Copa Libertadores | Cruzeiro | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Flamengo |
| 12/03/26 Brazil Serie A | Flamengo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 03/10/25 Brazil Serie A | Flamengo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 04/05/25 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Flamengo |
| 07/11/24 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Flamengo |
| 30/06/24 Brazil Serie A | Flamengo | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Cruzeiro |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 48 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 33 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Atletico Mineiro | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 25 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | Internacional | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 22 |
| 19 | Remo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cruzeiro | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Coritiba | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Internacional | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Flamengo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cruzeiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Chapecoense Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Chapecoense Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | Gremio Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Defensor Sporting America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Flamengo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/08 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/07 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Olimpia Asuncion America Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Benfica World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | FC Lausanne-Sport World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | River Plate America Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Flamengo win (38%). Probabilities: Cruzeiro 31%, draw 30%, Flamengo 38%.
How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Cruzeiro 1.03 · Flamengo 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.