Football · Brazil Serie A · 22/08, 21:00

Prediction: Fluminense vs Remo

Team pages: Fluminense · Remo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Fluminense1.93

Remo0.7

1X2

66% 22% 12%

Fluminense Draw Remo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Fluminense 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDDDLDDW

Remo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLDLD

Head-to-head

Fluminense 1–0 Remo (1 last)

Remo0-2Fluminense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fluminense 1531 · Remo 1480

	Fluminense	Draw	Remo
Our model	66%	23%	12%
Market	66%	21%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fluminense (rating 1531 vs 1480).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fluminense	Remo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	2.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.52.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:37 +1’	1.40	4.33	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fluminense 1–0–0 Remo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/03/26 Brazil Serie A	Remo	0-2 HT 0-1	Fluminense

Standings · Brazil Serie A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Palmeiras	23	14	6	3	40	19	48
2	Flamengo	21	12	6	3	39	18	42
3	Athletico Paranaense	23	12	5	6	31	20	41
4	Fluminense	23	10	8	5	34	28	38
5	Cruzeiro	22	9	6	7	30	31	33
6	EC Bahia	22	8	9	5	29	25	33
7	Bragantino	22	9	5	8	27	23	32
8	Corinthians	22	8	8	6	24	20	32
9	Coritiba	23	8	7	8	28	30	31
10	Botafogo	21	8	6	7	35	33	30
11	Atletico Mineiro	21	8	5	8	27	27	29
12	Sao Paulo	22	7	6	9	27	26	27
13	Vitoria	22	7	5	10	22	33	26
14	Gremio	21	6	7	8	24	27	25
15	Mirassol	21	6	5	10	24	30	23
16	Internacional	22	5	8	9	23	27	23
17	Santos	21	5	7	9	29	35	22
18	Vasco da Gama	21	5	7	9	23	31	22
19	Remo	22	5	7	10	26	36	22
20	Chapecoense	21	1	7	13	20	43	10

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fluminense

WWDDDDLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
12/08	Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
09/08	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
06/08	Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil	0-1	1-3	1	8	L
01/08	Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
30/07	EC Bahia Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
26/07	Gremio Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
18/07	Bragantino Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	11	7	D
12/07	EC Bahia America Friendlies	0-0	2-0	1	7	W
09/07	Nova Iguacu America Friendlies	2-1	6-1	8	3	W

Remo

WWLWLWLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
05/08	Santos Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
02/08	Santos Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
30/07	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/07	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
24/07	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
01/06	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/05	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
17/05	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-2	9	3	W
14/05	EC Bahia Copa do Brasil	1-1	2-1	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fluminense vs Remo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fluminense win (66%). Probabilities: Fluminense 66%, draw 22%, Remo 12%.

How many goals are expected in Fluminense vs Remo?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Fluminense 1.93 · Remo 0.7), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Remo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.