Prediction: Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF
Team pages: Nashville SC · Inter Miami CF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Nashville SC1.8
Inter Miami CF1.65
1X2
Nashville SC
Draw
Inter Miami CF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nashville SC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Inter Miami CF
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nashville SC
1–2–3
Inter Miami CF
(6 last)
- Inter Miami CF1-1Nashville SC
- Nashville SC0-0Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF4-0Nashville SC
- Nashville SC2-1Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF3-1Nashville SC
- Nashville SC2-5Inter Miami CF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nashville SC 1496 · Inter Miami CF 1569
| Nashville SC | Draw | Inter Miami CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 24% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Miami CF (rating 1496 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Inter Miami CF: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nashville SC | Inter Miami CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 3.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 3.4 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nashville SC 1–2–3 Inter Miami CF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 CONCACAF Champions Cup | Inter Miami CF | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nashville SC |
| 12/03/26 CONCACAF Champions Cup | Nashville SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Inter Miami CF |
| 09/11/25 USA MLS | Inter Miami CF | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Nashville SC |
| 02/11/25 USA MLS | Nashville SC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Inter Miami CF |
| 25/10/25 USA MLS Play-Offs | Inter Miami CF | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Nashville SC |
| 19/10/25 USA MLS | Nashville SC | 2-5 HT 2-1 | Inter Miami CF |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 40 |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 32 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 44 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 39 | 25 |
| 9 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 29 | 23 |
| 10 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 47 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | 16 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | 12 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nashville SC | Inter Miami CF |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| CF Montreal | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nashville SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Leon Leagues Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | DC United USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 23/07 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | New York City FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | New England Revolution USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | DC United USA MLS |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Inter Miami CF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Monterrey Leagues Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/08 | Atletico San Luis Leagues Cup |
4-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
4-4 | 6-4 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
3-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nashville SC win (41%). Probabilities: Nashville SC 41%, draw 25%, Inter Miami CF 35%.
How many goals are expected in Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Nashville SC 1.8 · Inter Miami CF 1.65), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.