Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 03/11, 01:00

Prediction: Brujos Izalco vs Santiagueno

Team pages: Brujos Izalco · Santiagueno

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.1Total

Brujos Izalco83.9

Santiagueno78.2

1X2

66% 34%

Brujos Izalco Santiagueno

Recent form · 10 last

Brujos Izalco 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLLLW

Santiagueno 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Brujos Izalco 2–4 Santiagueno (6 last)

Santiagueno85-74Brujos Izalco
Santiagueno53-61Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco96-79Santiagueno
Brujos Izalco71-87Santiagueno
Santiagueno98-97Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco90-94Santiagueno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brujos Izalco 1488 · Santiagueno 1412

	Brujos Izalco	Santiagueno
Our model	72%	28%
Market	65%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 162.1 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162.1Brujos Izalco 83.9 · Santiagueno 78.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brujos Izalco (rating 1488 vs 1412).
Brujos Izalco is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Santiagueno: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brujos Izalco	Santiagueno
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.2 / 83.2	72.5 / 89.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	73 / 75	67 / 86.8
Est. result	84	78

Est. total162.1

Line O/U164.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.43

22.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 163.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.43▲	Pinn 1.77 ★
2	5.00 → 2.65▼	Bet365 2.65

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	2
20:31 +17’	1.14	5.00
21:43 +5’	1.43▲	2.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
19:45 +4’	1.07	4.59
20:39 +8’	1.07▼	4.62▲
21:23 +24’	1.77▲	1.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brujos Izalco 2–0–4 Santiagueno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santiagueno	85-74	Brujos Izalco
25/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santiagueno	53-61	Brujos Izalco
19/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	96-79	Santiagueno
02/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	71-87	Santiagueno
29/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santiagueno	98-97	Brujos Izalco
05/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	90-94	Santiagueno

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	18	17	1	1693	1344	35
2	Santa Ana BC	18	14	4	1560	1435	32
3	A.Lobos BKB	18	13	5	1387	1269	31
4	Cojutepeque	18	10	8	1394	1274	28
5	Salvadorenos	18	9	9	1408	1372	27
6	San Salvador	18	8	10	1538	1565	26
7	CD Aguila	17	8	9	1354	1365	25
8	Santa Tecla	18	7	11	1397	1454	25
9	Santiagueno	17	5	12	1283	1543	22
10	Brujos Izalco	17	5	12	1336	1420	22
11	Ahuachapan	17	1	16	1316	1625	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brujos Izalco	Santiagueno
San Salvador	71-63 W	74-94 L
Salvadorenos	75-80 L	69-75 L
A.Lobos BKB	56-62 L	79-90 L
Santa Ana BC	83-88 L	60-76 L
Isidro Metapan	80-82 L	48-89 L
Ahuachapan	123-107 W	91-87 W
Cojutepeque	76-75 W	61-96 L
CD Aguila	76-68 W	106-126 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Brujos Izalco (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brujos Izalco

LLWWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	71-63	W
24/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	75-80	L
21/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	56-62	L
16/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	83-88	L
13/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-82	L
11/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	123-107	W
09/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-75	W
04/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-68	W
30/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	86-92	L
28/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-115	L

Santiagueno

WLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-97	L
25/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	79-90	L
22/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	61-96	L
18/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	60-76	L
16/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-75	L
11/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	48-89	L
10/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	74-94	L
05/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-87	W
03/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	106-126	L
01/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	71-69	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brujos Izalco vs Santiagueno?

Our model gives 66% to Brujos Izalco.

How many points are expected in Brujos Izalco vs Santiagueno?

The model estimates 162.1 total points (Brujos Izalco 83.9 · Santiagueno 78.2).