Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 11/11, 02:15
Prediction: Santa Ana BC vs San Salvador
Team pages: Santa Ana BC · San Salvador
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.4Total
Santa Ana BC88.2
San Salvador81.2
1X2
Santa Ana BC
San Salvador
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Ana BC
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
San Salvador
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santa Ana BC
1–5
San Salvador
(6 last)
- San Salvador93-91Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC105-103San Salvador
- Santa Ana BC71-102San Salvador
- San Salvador91-57Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC80-93San Salvador
- San Salvador102-69Santa Ana BC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santa Ana BC 1537 · San Salvador 1547
| Santa Ana BC | San Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
169.4 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · -4.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points169.4Santa Ana BC 88.2 · San Salvador 81.2
Match keys
- Santa Ana BC is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours San Salvador: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Santa Ana BC | San Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82 / 79.8 | 86.9 / 86 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.4 / 87 | 83.8 / 88.8 |
| Est. result | 88 | 81 |
Est. total169.4
Line O/U173.5
Diff.4.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana BC 1–0–5 San Salvador
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 93-91 | Santa Ana BC |
| 23/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 105-103 | San Salvador |
| 19/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 71-102 | San Salvador |
| 18/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 91-57 | Santa Ana BC |
| 01/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 80-93 | San Salvador |
| 22/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 102-69 | Santa Ana BC |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 20 | 19 | 1 | 1903 | 1502 | 39 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1713 | 1630 | 35 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1562 | 1412 | 34 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1538 | 1407 | 32 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1635 | 1611 | 30 |
| 6 | Salvadorenos | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1556 | 1562 | 29 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1717 | 1735 | 29 |
| 8 | Brujos Izalco | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1635 | 1649 | 28 |
| 9 | Santa Tecla | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1547 | 1620 | 27 |
| 10 | Santiagueno | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1495 | 1862 | 25 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 20 | 2 | 18 | 1599 | 1910 | 22 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Ana BC | San Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Isidro Metapan | 78-126 L | 77-110 L |
| A.Lobos BKB | 75-69 W | 68-67 W |
| Ahuachapan | 98-82 W | 115-102 W |
| CD Aguila | 77-80 L | 96-89 W |
| Santa Tecla | 89-78 W | 99-95 W |
| Santiagueno | 76-60 W | 94-74 W |
| Brujos Izalco | 88-83 W | 63-71 L |
| Cojutepeque | 82-67 W | 64-68 L |
| Salvadorenos | 66-60 W | 100-93 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Ana BC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Ana BC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-126 | L |
| 05/11 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-69 | W |
| 28/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
98-82 | W |
| 25/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-80 | L |
| 20/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-78 | W |
| 18/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-60 | W |
| 16/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
88-83 | W |
| 12/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-67 | W |
| 10/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-60 | W |
| 08/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
91-93 | L |
San Salvador
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
64-68 | L |
| 06/11 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
115-102 | W |
| 27/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
63-71 | L |
| 22/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-93 | W |
| 20/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-110 | L |
| 17/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
99-95 | W |
| 15/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-67 | W |
| 13/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
96-89 | W |
| 10/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-74 | W |
| 08/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-91 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Ana BC vs San Salvador?
Our model gives 69% to Santa Ana BC.
How many points are expected in Santa Ana BC vs San Salvador?
The model estimates 169.4 total points (Santa Ana BC 88.2 · San Salvador 81.2).