Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 12/11, 02:15
Prediction: Cojutepeque vs CD Aguila
Team pages: Cojutepeque · CD Aguila
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.7Total
Cojutepeque79.1
CD Aguila72.6
1X2
Cojutepeque
CD Aguila
Markets
Over 149.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Cojutepeque
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
CD Aguila
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cojutepeque
2–4
CD Aguila
(6 last)
- CD Aguila68-87Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque66-64CD Aguila
- CD Aguila97-91Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque62-73CD Aguila
- CD Aguila98-66Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque78-97CD Aguila
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cojutepeque 1511 · CD Aguila 1471
| Cojutepeque | CD Aguila | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.7 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +2.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.7Cojutepeque 79.1 · CD Aguila 72.6
Over / Under 149.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~156.4 pts · strength 7
Match keys
- Cojutepeque is a clear favourite (68% market).
- H2H favours CD Aguila: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cojutepeque | CD Aguila | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.8 / 71.4 | 79.7 / 84.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.6 / 71 | 85.8 / 82 |
| Est. result | 79 | 73 |
Est. total151.7
Line O/U149.5
Diff.2.2
Over / Under65% / 35%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cojutepeque 2–0–4 CD Aguila
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | CD Aguila | 68-87 | Cojutepeque |
| 27/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 66-64 | CD Aguila |
| 09/11/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | CD Aguila | 97-91 | Cojutepeque |
| 23/09/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 62-73 | CD Aguila |
| 06/05/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | CD Aguila | 98-66 | Cojutepeque |
| 30/03/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 78-97 | CD Aguila |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 20 | 19 | 1 | 1903 | 1502 | 39 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1713 | 1630 | 35 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1562 | 1412 | 34 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1538 | 1407 | 32 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1635 | 1611 | 30 |
| 6 | Salvadorenos | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1556 | 1562 | 29 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1717 | 1735 | 29 |
| 8 | Brujos Izalco | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1635 | 1649 | 28 |
| 9 | Santa Tecla | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1547 | 1620 | 27 |
| 10 | Santiagueno | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1495 | 1862 | 25 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 20 | 2 | 18 | 1599 | 1910 | 22 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cojutepeque | CD Aguila |
|---|---|---|
| San Salvador | 68-64 W | 89-96 L |
| Santa Tecla | 76-69 W | 85-70 W |
| Isidro Metapan | 66-93 L | 76-116 L |
| Santiagueno | 96-61 W | 109-66 W |
| Ahuachapan | 93-78 W | 105-89 W |
| A.Lobos BKB | 41-51 L | 52-68 L |
| Salvadorenos | 59-72 L | 66-81 L |
| Santa Ana BC | 67-82 L | 80-77 W |
| Brujos Izalco | 75-76 L | 67-91 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Cojutepeque (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cojutepeque
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-64 | W |
| 04/11 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-69 | W |
| 28/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-68 | W |
| 26/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-93 | L |
| 22/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
96-61 | W |
| 19/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-78 | W |
| 17/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
41-51 | L |
| 14/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
59-72 | L |
| 12/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
67-82 | L |
| 09/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-76 | L |
CD Aguila
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
67-91 | L |
| 05/11 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
109-66 | W |
| 03/11 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
105-89 | W |
| 28/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-87 | L |
| 25/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
80-77 | W |
| 18/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-116 | L |
| 15/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-70 | W |
| 13/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-96 | L |
| 11/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
52-68 | L |
| 08/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-81 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cojutepeque vs CD Aguila?
Our model gives 68% to Cojutepeque.
How many points are expected in Cojutepeque vs CD Aguila?
The model estimates 151.7 total points (Cojutepeque 79.1 · CD Aguila 72.6).
Over or under 149.5 points?
Recent history points to over 149.5 points (65%).