Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 08/11, 02:00
Prediction: Cojutepeque vs San Salvador
Team pages: Cojutepeque · San Salvador
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.5Total
Cojutepeque83.6
San Salvador75.9
1X2
Cojutepeque
San Salvador
Markets
Under 164.5 points 67%
Recent form · 10 last
Cojutepeque
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
San Salvador
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cojutepeque
1–5
San Salvador
(6 last)
- San Salvador104-109Cojutepeque
- San Salvador101-87Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque55-70San Salvador
- San Salvador81-55Cojutepeque
- San Salvador85-67Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque56-74San Salvador
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cojutepeque 1481 · San Salvador 1558
| Cojutepeque | San Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.5 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.5Cojutepeque 83.6 · San Salvador 75.9
Over / Under 164.5Under · 67%recent trend · ~154.1 pts · strength 10
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Salvador (rating 1481 vs 1558).
- Cojutepeque is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours San Salvador: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cojutepeque | San Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73.7 / 72.4 | 87.1 / 86.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.6 / 73.8 | 90.8 / 94.2 |
| Est. result | 84 | 76 |
Est. total159.5
Line O/U164.5
Diff.5
Over / Under33% / 67%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cojutepeque 1–0–5 San Salvador
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 104-109 | Cojutepeque |
| 15/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 101-87 | Cojutepeque |
| 13/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 55-70 | San Salvador |
| 11/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 81-55 | Cojutepeque |
| 21/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 85-67 | Cojutepeque |
| 14/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 56-74 | San Salvador |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 19 | 18 | 1 | 1777 | 1424 | 37 |
| 2 | A.Lobos BKB | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1562 | 1412 | 34 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1635 | 1504 | 34 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1470 | 1343 | 30 |
| 5 | Salvadorenos | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1556 | 1562 | 29 |
| 6 | CD Aguila | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1568 | 1520 | 29 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1653 | 1667 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1547 | 1620 | 27 |
| 9 | Brujos Izalco | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1544 | 1582 | 26 |
| 10 | Santiagueno | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1430 | 1770 | 24 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 19 | 1 | 18 | 1507 | 1845 | 20 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cojutepeque | San Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Tecla | 76-69 W | 99-95 W |
| CD Aguila | 87-68 W | 96-89 W |
| Isidro Metapan | 66-93 L | 77-110 L |
| Santiagueno | 96-61 W | 94-74 W |
| Ahuachapan | 93-78 W | 115-102 W |
| A.Lobos BKB | 41-51 L | 68-67 W |
| Salvadorenos | 59-72 L | 100-93 W |
| Santa Ana BC | 67-82 L | 93-91 W |
| Brujos Izalco | 75-76 L | 63-71 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 5 L | 7 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cojutepeque (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cojutepeque
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-69 | W |
| 28/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-68 | W |
| 26/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-93 | L |
| 22/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
96-61 | W |
| 19/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-78 | W |
| 17/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
41-51 | L |
| 14/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
59-72 | L |
| 12/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
67-82 | L |
| 09/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-76 | L |
| 03/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-74 | W |
San Salvador
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
115-102 | W |
| 27/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
63-71 | L |
| 22/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-93 | W |
| 20/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-110 | L |
| 17/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
99-95 | W |
| 15/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-67 | W |
| 13/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
96-89 | W |
| 10/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-74 | W |
| 08/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-91 | W |
| 05/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-76 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cojutepeque vs San Salvador?
Our model gives 71% to Cojutepeque.
How many points are expected in Cojutepeque vs San Salvador?
The model estimates 159.5 total points (Cojutepeque 83.6 · San Salvador 75.9).
Over or under 164.5 points?
Recent history points to under 164.5 points (67%).