Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 12/11, 02:15
Prediction: Isidro Metapan vs Brujos Izalco
Team pages: Isidro Metapan · Brujos Izalco
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.9Total
Isidro Metapan92.5
Brujos Izalco77.4
1X2
Isidro Metapan
Brujos Izalco
Markets
Under 171.5 points 74%
Recent form · 10 last
Isidro Metapan
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Brujos Izalco
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Isidro Metapan
6–0
Brujos Izalco
(6 last)
- Brujos Izalco80-82Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan120-90Brujos Izalco
- Brujos Izalco84-92Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan91-73Brujos Izalco
- Brujos Izalco82-107Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan107-47Brujos Izalco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isidro Metapan 1650 · Brujos Izalco 1507
| Isidro Metapan | Brujos Izalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
169.9 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -1.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points169.9Isidro Metapan 92.5 · Brujos Izalco 77.4
Over / Under 171.5Under · 74%recent trend · ~163.5 pts · strength 8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isidro Metapan (rating 1650 vs 1507).
- Isidro Metapan is a clear favourite (86% market).
- H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Isidro Metapan | Brujos Izalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 96.3 / 71.9 | 86.3 / 78.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 99.8 / 75.2 | 89 / 74.4 |
| Est. result | 93 | 77 |
Est. total169.9
Line O/U171.5
Diff.1.6
Over / Under26% / 74%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Isidro Metapan 6–0–0 Brujos Izalco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Brujos Izalco | 80-82 | Isidro Metapan |
| 25/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 120-90 | Brujos Izalco |
| 04/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Brujos Izalco | 84-92 | Isidro Metapan |
| 30/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 91-73 | Brujos Izalco |
| 19/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Brujos Izalco | 82-107 | Isidro Metapan |
| 17/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 107-47 | Brujos Izalco |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 20 | 19 | 1 | 1903 | 1502 | 39 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1713 | 1630 | 35 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1562 | 1412 | 34 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1538 | 1407 | 32 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1635 | 1611 | 30 |
| 6 | Salvadorenos | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1556 | 1562 | 29 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1717 | 1735 | 29 |
| 8 | Brujos Izalco | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1635 | 1649 | 28 |
| 9 | Santa Tecla | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1547 | 1620 | 27 |
| 10 | Santiagueno | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1495 | 1862 | 25 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 20 | 2 | 18 | 1599 | 1910 | 22 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Isidro Metapan | Brujos Izalco |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Ana BC | 126-78 W | 83-88 L |
| Salvadorenos | 84-80 W | 75-80 L |
| Cojutepeque | 93-66 W | 76-75 W |
| Santa Tecla | 86-75 W | 90-81 W |
| San Salvador | 110-77 W | 71-63 W |
| CD Aguila | 116-76 W | 91-67 W |
| Ahuachapan | 100-78 W | 123-107 W |
| Santiagueno | 89-48 W | 118-81 W |
| A.Lobos BKB | 77-61 W | 56-62 L |
| Record vs common | 9 W 0 D 0 L | 6 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Isidro Metapan (9 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
126-78 | W |
| 05/11 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-80 | W |
| 26/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-66 | W |
| 23/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
86-75 | W |
| 20/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
110-77 | W |
| 18/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
116-76 | W |
| 15/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-78 | W |
| 13/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-80 | W |
| 11/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-48 | W |
| 07/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-61 | W |
Brujos Izalco
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
91-67 | W |
| 06/11 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
90-81 | W |
| 03/11 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
118-81 | W |
| 27/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-63 | W |
| 24/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-80 | L |
| 21/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
56-62 | L |
| 16/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-88 | L |
| 13/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
80-82 | L |
| 11/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
123-107 | W |
| 09/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-75 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isidro Metapan vs Brujos Izalco?
Our model gives 86% to Isidro Metapan.
How many points are expected in Isidro Metapan vs Brujos Izalco?
The model estimates 169.9 total points (Isidro Metapan 92.5 · Brujos Izalco 77.4).
Over or under 171.5 points?
Recent history points to under 171.5 points (74%).