Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 04/11, 02:15
Prediction: Cojutepeque vs Santa Tecla
Team pages: Cojutepeque · Santa Tecla
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.9Total
Cojutepeque79.9
Santa Tecla73
1X2
Cojutepeque
Santa Tecla
Recent form · 10 last
Cojutepeque
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Santa Tecla
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cojutepeque
3–3
Santa Tecla
(6 last)
- Santa Tecla74-77Cojutepeque
- Santa Tecla103-86Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque75-98Santa Tecla
- Cojutepeque84-78Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla78-76Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque89-81Santa Tecla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cojutepeque 1492 · Santa Tecla 1510
| Cojutepeque | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.9 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.9Cojutepeque 79.9 · Santa Tecla 73
Match keys
- Cojutepeque is a clear favourite (69% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cojutepeque | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.3 / 70.8 | 80 / 78.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.6 / 70.2 | 83 / 85 |
| Est. result | 80 | 73 |
Est. total152.9
Line O/U152.5
Diff.0.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cojutepeque 3–0–3 Santa Tecla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 74-77 | Cojutepeque |
| 05/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 103-86 | Cojutepeque |
| 30/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 75-98 | Santa Tecla |
| 17/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 84-78 | Santa Tecla |
| 20/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 78-76 | Cojutepeque |
| 14/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 89-81 | Santa Tecla |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 18 | 17 | 1 | 1693 | 1344 | 35 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1560 | 1435 | 32 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1387 | 1269 | 31 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1394 | 1274 | 28 |
| 5 | Salvadorenos | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1408 | 1372 | 27 |
| 6 | San Salvador | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1538 | 1565 | 26 |
| 7 | CD Aguila | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1354 | 1365 | 25 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1397 | 1454 | 25 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1283 | 1543 | 22 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1336 | 1420 | 22 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 17 | 1 | 16 | 1316 | 1625 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cojutepeque | Santa Tecla |
|---|---|---|
| CD Aguila | 87-68 W | 70-85 L |
| Isidro Metapan | 66-93 L | 75-86 L |
| Santiagueno | 96-61 W | 97-66 W |
| Ahuachapan | 93-78 W | 82-73 W |
| A.Lobos BKB | 41-51 L | 70-65 W |
| Salvadorenos | 59-72 L | 83-78 W |
| Santa Ana BC | 67-82 L | 78-89 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Tecla (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cojutepeque
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-68 | W |
| 26/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-93 | L |
| 22/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
96-61 | W |
| 19/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-78 | W |
| 17/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
41-51 | L |
| 14/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
59-72 | L |
| 12/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
67-82 | L |
| 09/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-76 | L |
| 03/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-74 | W |
| 29/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
62-53 | W |
Santa Tecla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
97-66 | W |
| 23/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-86 | L |
| 20/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-89 | L |
| 17/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
95-99 | L |
| 15/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-85 | L |
| 12/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-78 | W |
| 09/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-65 | W |
| 07/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-73 | W |
| 05/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-66 | W |
| 03/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-77 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cojutepeque vs Santa Tecla?
Our model gives 69% to Cojutepeque.
How many points are expected in Cojutepeque vs Santa Tecla?
The model estimates 152.9 total points (Cojutepeque 79.9 · Santa Tecla 73).